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Warap state, South Sudan: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Warap state, data through 31 Jul 2026.
Warap state, South Sudan recorded 2 events and 28 estimated deaths from 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026, roughly unchanged (0%) from the preceding 90-day period.
The 12-month total for Warap state stands at 5 events and 73 estimated deaths. That is +25% on the previous 12 months. 60% of events were classed as non-state conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 16.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group (2 events, 43 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Mar 2026Jan 2026Jul 2025Mar 2025Jul 2024
Events in Warap state, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Warap state, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Gogrial East county | 2 | 38 |
| Twic county | 2 | 16 |
| Tonj South county | 1 | 19 |
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jul 2026 | Tonj South county Warap state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state | 19 |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Twic county Warap state | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 9 civilian | 9 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group | 6 | 102 |
| Nyarmuong | 1 | 14 |
| Jur-Man-Anger | 1 | 14 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group | 2 | 43 |
| Unidentified armed group - Civilians | 2 | 16 |
| Nyarmuong - Jur-Man-Anger | 1 | 14 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 0 | 0% |
| Non-state conflict | 3 | 60% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 2 | 40% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Warap state in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 5 organized-violence events in Warap state between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 73 deaths.
Is violence in Warap state increasing or decreasing?
Broadly stable. Events in the last 90 days (2) were within 20% of the preceding 90 days (2).
Who are the main armed actors in Warap state?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Unidentified armed group (6 events), Nyarmuong (1 events), Jur-Man-Anger (1 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Warap state?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Warap state, 60% of events over the last 12 months were non-state conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Other regions of South Sudan
Jonglei state · Unity state · Lakes state · Central Equatoria state · West Equatoria state
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.