Cameroon and South Africa: events and estimated deaths compared

Data through 30 Sep 2026The two countries are in the UCDP region Africa

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 228 eventsP in Cameroon and 131 eventsP in South Africa. The best estimate of deaths is 500P in Cameroon and 313P in South Africa. The two columns use the same periods and the same UCDP definitions.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 173 events in Cameroon and 10 events in South Africa. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is up 32 percentP in Cameroon. It is up 1210 percentP in South Africa.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.
An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date
UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on 2 Oct 2026.

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through 30 Sep 2026. The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Side by side

Population: World Bank, 2025. A rate shows the count against the size of the country.

Table 1. Cameroon and South Africa: the same figures for the same periods
Figure	Cameroon	South Africa
Events, September 2026	28P	21P
Estimated deaths, September 2026	55P	76P
Events, 12 months to 30 Sep 2026	228P	131P
Estimated deaths, 12 months to 30 Sep 2026	500P	313P
Low estimate of deaths, 12 months	414P	308P
High estimate of deaths, 12 months	529P	316P
Deaths of civilians, 12 months	232P	105P
Events, state-based armed conflict, 12 months	113P	10P
Events, non-state conflict, 12 months	9P	80P
Events, one-sided violence against civilians, 12 months	106P	41P
Population (World Bank)	29,879,337	64,747,319
Events for each million inhabitants, 12 months	7.6P	2.0P
Deaths for each million inhabitants, 12 months	16.7P	4.8P
Regions with a page	3	3

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

24 months

Each chart has its own scale. The page of each country has the figures as a table.

Figure 1. Events in Cameroon by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.

Figure 2. Events in South Africa by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.

The pages of the two countries: Cameroon and South Africa.

Official channels

UCDP DefinitionsThe definitions that UCDP uses.
UCDP Dataset Download CenterThe UCDP datasets, the codebooks and the citation of each dataset.

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on 2 Oct 2026.

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Cameroon and South Africa: events and estimated deaths compared. https://conflictstats.com/compare/cameroon-vs-south-africa/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through 30 Sep 2026.

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.