Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Chad and Ghana: events and estimated deaths compared

Data through The two countries are in the UCDP region Africa

Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a comparison when both countries have 100 or more events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 27 eventsP in Chad and 22 eventsP in Ghana. The best estimate of deaths is 252P in Chad and 67P in Ghana. The two columns use the same periods and the same UCDP definitions.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 24 events in Chad and 21 events in Ghana. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is up 13 percentP in Chad. It is up 5 percentP in Ghana.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Side by side

Population: World Bank, 2025. A rate shows the count against the size of the country.

Table 1. Chad and Ghana: the same figures for the same periods
FigureChadGhana
Events, September 20262P1P
Estimated deaths, September 202620P1P
Events, 12 months to 30 Sep 202627P22P
Estimated deaths, 12 months to 30 Sep 2026252P67P
Low estimate of deaths, 12 months220P67P
High estimate of deaths, 12 months277P69P
Deaths of civilians, 12 months60P5P
Events, state-based armed conflict, 12 months8P4P
Events, non-state conflict, 12 months16P17P
Events, one-sided violence against civilians, 12 months3P1P
Population (World Bank)21,003,70535,064,272
Events for each million inhabitants, 12 months1.3P0.6P
Deaths for each million inhabitants, 12 months12.0P1.9P
Regions with a page11

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

24 months

Each chart has its own scale. The page of each country has the figures as a table.

0510Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Chad by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.
02.55Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 2. Events in Ghana by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.

The pages of the two countries: Chad and Ghana.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

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ConflictStats. Chad and Ghana: events and estimated deaths compared. https://conflictstats.com/compare/chad-vs-ghana/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

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