Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Chad: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Population 21,003,705 (World Bank, 2025)

Coverage ends on . Figures that include Candidate Events are preliminary. Compare the two recorded 12-month windows.

UCDP recorded 2 eventsP of organized violence in Chad in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 20P. The low estimate is 0 and the high estimate is 20P. The count for August 2026 was 2 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 27 eventsP in Chad. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 252P. The low estimate is 220 and the high estimate is 277P. UCDP counts 60P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 49 countries with a page, Chad has the 40th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the UCDP region Africa, Chad has the 17th highest count of events of the 20 countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 24 events in Chad. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 27P, which is up 13 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page together went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of non-state conflict are 59 percentP of the events in Chad in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 24 percentP.

Table 1. Chad: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events2227
Estimated deaths, best estimate2016252
Low estimate of deaths016220
High estimate of deaths2016277
Deaths of civilians11060

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Chad on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

Source: UCDP GED to December 2025, UCDP Candidate Events from January 2026.

0510Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Chad by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
050100Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 2. Estimated deaths in Chad by month, best estimate. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
Figure 3. Events in Chad, 3 Jul 2026 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 5 events with 38 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Regions

A region is a first-level area in the UCDP data. A region needs 5 or more events in the last 12 months to have a page. Search engines list a region page at 30 or more.

Table 2. Regions of Chad with a page, in name order: the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
RegionEventsEstimated deathsLast event
Lac region6P68P9 Jun 2026

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. 1 region of Chad has a page. 13 more regions have events and no page.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them. The glossary has the UCDP definition of an actor and of a dyad.

Table 3. Chad: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP2P16P
Bulala133
Daguia (Buduma)1P3P
Farmers (Chad)9P28P
Fulani1P11P
Government of Chad4P13P
Government of Nigeria5P68P
Government of Sudan1P24P
Group named for a person (name not shown)1P11P
Herders (Chad)9P28P
IS1P6P
JAS6P79P
Kella Dallah (Buduma)1P3P
Kreda133
MPRD1P6P
SFA1P24P
Tama2P45P
Zaghawa2P45P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

Table 4. Chad: UCDP dyads in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Dyad, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Actor not identified by UCDP - Actor not identified by UCDP2P16P
Bulala - Kreda133
Daguia (Buduma) - Kella Dallah (Buduma)1P3P
Farmers (Chad) - Herders (Chad)9P28P
Fulani - Group named for a person (name not shown)1P11P
Government of Chad - Civilians2P1P
Government of Chad - IS1P6P
Government of Chad - MPRD1P6P
Government of Nigeria - JAS5P68P
Government of Sudan - SFA1P24P
JAS - Civilians1P11P
Tama - Zaghawa2P45P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 5. Chad: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict8P30%
Non-state conflict16P59%
One-sided violence against civilians3P11%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

State-based conflict

A state-based armed conflict is a contested incompatibility that concerns government and/or territory where the use of armed force between two parties, of which at least one is the government of a state, results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in one calendar year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Non-state conflict

The use of armed force between two organised armed groups, neither of which is the government of a state, which results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

One-sided violence

The deliberate use of armed force by the government of a state or by a formally organised group against civilians which results in at least 25 deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Years

Years to 2025 are from the UCDP GED. The year 2026 is from Candidate Events and is not complete.

Table 6. Chad: events and estimated deaths by year
YearEventsEstimated deathsDataset
2017691GED
201812168GED
201924263GED
202026249GED
202113667GED
202212115GED
202311115GED
202424195GED
202521174GED
2026, to 30 Sep 202622P207PCandidate Events

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events.

Table 7. Monthly reports of Chad, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20262P20PCandidate Events
August 20262P16PCandidate Events
July 20261P2PCandidate Events
June 20262P14PCandidate Events
May 20264P56PCandidate Events
April 20263P46PCandidate Events
March 20264P44PCandidate Events
February 20262P3PCandidate Events
January 20262P6PCandidate Events
November 2025338GED
October 202527GED
September 202514GED
August 202511GED
July 2025218GED
June 2025218GED
May 2025251GED
March 202517GED
February 202513GED
January 2025627GED
December 2024324GED
November 2024317GED
October 2024243GED
September 202423GED
August 202426GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Other countries of the UCDP region Africa

Comparisons

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Chad: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/chad/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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The files are made from UCDP data, CC BY 4.0. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. The rate for the 12 months is 1.3 (preliminary) events for each million inhabitants.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Chad in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 2 eventsP of organized violence in Chad in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 2 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Chad in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 252P. The low estimate is 220 and the high estimate is 277P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.

Where are the events of Chad as a CSV file?

The file has one row for each event from 1 Sep 2024 to 30 Sep 2026. It has 53 rows. Download the events (CSV)