Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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DR Congo and Mali: events and estimated deaths compared

Data through The two countries are in the UCDP region Africa

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 742 eventsP in DR Congo and 780 eventsP in Mali. The best estimate of deaths is 3,810P in DR Congo and 2,052P in Mali. The two columns use the same periods and the same UCDP definitions.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 963 events in DR Congo and 495 events in Mali. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is down 23 percentP in DR Congo. It is up 58 percentP in Mali.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Side by side

Population: World Bank, 2025. A rate shows the count against the size of the country.

Table 1. DR Congo and Mali: the same figures for the same periods
FigureDR CongoMali
Events, September 202643P76P
Estimated deaths, September 2026121P194P
Events, 12 months to 30 Sep 2026742P780P
Estimated deaths, 12 months to 30 Sep 20263,810P2,052P
Low estimate of deaths, 12 months3,019P1,961P
High estimate of deaths, 12 months11,318P3,532P
Deaths of civilians, 12 months2,715P615P
Events, state-based armed conflict, 12 months292P609P
Events, non-state conflict, 12 months149P83P
Events, one-sided violence against civilians, 12 months301P88P
Population (World Bank)112,832,47325,198,821
Events for each million inhabitants, 12 months6.6P31.0P
Deaths for each million inhabitants, 12 months33.8P81.4P
Regions with a page512

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

24 months

Each chart has its own scale. The page of each country has the figures as a table.

0100200Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in DR Congo by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.
0100200Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 2. Events in Mali by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.

The pages of the two countries: DR Congo and Mali.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite this page

ConflictStats. DR Congo and Mali: events and estimated deaths compared. https://conflictstats.com/compare/dr-congo-vs-mali/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.