Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Mali: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Population 25,198,821 (World Bank, 2025)

Coverage ends on . Figures that include Candidate Events are preliminary. Compare the two recorded 12-month windows.

UCDP recorded 76 eventsP of organized violence in Mali in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 194P. The low estimate is 183 and the high estimate is 538P. The count for August 2026 was 59 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 780 eventsP in Mali. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 2,052P. The low estimate is 1,961 and the high estimate is 3,532P. UCDP counts 615P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 49 countries with a page, Mali has the 8th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the UCDP region Africa, Mali has the 3rd highest count of events of the 20 countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 495 events in Mali. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 780P, which is up 58 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page together went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 78 percentP of the events in Mali in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 63 percentP.

Table 1. Mali: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events7659780
Estimated deaths, best estimate194962,052
Low estimate of deaths183961,961
High estimate of deaths5382203,532
Deaths of civilians3418615

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

ConflictStats recorded this on .

  • UCDP recorded 76 events in Mali in September 2026 (preliminary). The count for August 2026 was 59 (preliminary).
  • UCDP recorded 194 estimated deaths in Mali in September 2026 (preliminary). The estimate for August 2026 was 96 (preliminary).

All changes recorded on 28 Oct 2026

24 months

Source: UCDP GED to December 2025, UCDP Candidate Events from January 2026.

0100200Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Mali by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
0250500Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 2. Estimated deaths in Mali by month, best estimate. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
Figure 3. Events in Mali, 3 Jul 2026 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 257 events with 565 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Regions

A region is a first-level area in the UCDP data. A region needs 5 or more events in the last 12 months to have a page. Search engines list a region page at 30 or more.

Table 2. Regions of Mali with a page, in name order: the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
RegionEventsEstimated deathsLast event
Bamako region7P5P4 Sep 2026
Bandiagara region10P18P29 Sep 2026
Gao region48P185P28 Sep 2026
Kayes region46P171P18 Aug 2026
Kidal region89P108P28 Sep 2026
Koulikoro region60P127P18 Sep 2026
Ménaka region34P113P27 Sep 2026
Mopti region143P327P24 Sep 2026
San region5P60P13 Sep 2026
Segou region122P344P30 Sep 2026
Sikasso region77P167P9 Sep 2026
Tombouctou region106P234P29 Sep 2026

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. 12 regions of Mali have a page. 5 more regions have events and no page.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them. The glossary has the UCDP definition of an actor and of a dyad.

Table 3. Mali: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP1P3P
Dan na Ambassagou9P66P
Dozos (Mali)62P102P
FLA63P171P
GATIA1P0P
GATIA, MSA1P2P
Government of Mali627P1,675P
Government of Mali, Government of Russia (Soviet Union)38P87P
Government of Russia (Soviet Union)6P14P
IS50P148P
JNIM613P1,522P
MSA1P0P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

Table 4. Mali: UCDP dyads in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Dyad, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Actor not identified by UCDP - Civilians1P3P
Dan na Ambassagou - Civilians1P1P
Dan na Ambassagou - JNIM8P65P
Dozos (Mali) - Civilians1P3P
Dozos (Mali) - JNIM61P99P
GATIA - JNIM1P0P
GATIA, MSA - IS1P2P
Government of Mali - Civilians18P126P
Government of Mali - FLA63P171P
Government of Mali - IS34P120P
Government of Mali - JNIM512P1,258P
Government of Mali, Government of Russia (Soviet Union) - Civilians38P87P
Government of Russia (Soviet Union) - Civilians6P14P
IS - Civilians3P3P
IS - JNIM11P23P
IS - MSA1P0P
JNIM - Civilians20P77P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 5. Mali: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict609P78%
Non-state conflict83P11%
One-sided violence against civilians88P11%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

State-based conflict

A state-based armed conflict is a contested incompatibility that concerns government and/or territory where the use of armed force between two parties, of which at least one is the government of a state, results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in one calendar year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Non-state conflict

The use of armed force between two organised armed groups, neither of which is the government of a state, which results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

One-sided violence

The deliberate use of armed force by the government of a state or by a formally organised group against civilians which results in at least 25 deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Years

Years to 2025 are from the UCDP GED. The year 2026 is from Candidate Events and is not complete.

Table 6. Mali: events and estimated deaths by year
YearEventsEstimated deathsDataset
2017127612GED
20182361,281GED
20191991,227GED
20202341,543GED
20212151,287GED
20224093,656GED
20233202,118GED
20244471,901GED
20255062,157GED
2026, to 30 Sep 2026627P1,612PCandidate Events

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events.

Table 7. Monthly reports of Mali, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202676P194PCandidate Events
August 202659P96PCandidate Events
July 2026129P281PCandidate Events
June 202665P81PCandidate Events
May 202693P488PCandidate Events
April 202667P159PCandidate Events
March 202647P95PCandidate Events
February 202635P111PCandidate Events
January 202656P107PCandidate Events
December 20254047GED
November 202549173GED
October 202564220GED
September 202545116GED
August 202529168GED
July 202533179GED
June 202552434GED
May 202536150GED
April 202521110GED
March 202541190GED
February 202544208GED
January 202552162GED
December 202454129GED
November 202436125GED
October 202452182GED
September 202427164GED
August 202428128GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Other countries of the UCDP region Africa

Comparisons

Refugees and asylum seekers

Not UCDP data. Source: UNHCR Refugee Population Statistics Database, CC BY 4.0, figures for the end of 2025.

Table 8. People from Mali who are in other countries, end of 2025 (UNHCR)
GroupPeople
Refugees519,738
Asylum seekers23,629

These figures come from UNHCR. They are not a part of the UCDP counts of events and deaths. UNHCR has not endorsed this site. Read the UNHCR terms of use for datasets.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Mali: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/mali/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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The files are made from UCDP data, CC BY 4.0. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. The rate for the 12 months is 31 (preliminary) events for each million inhabitants.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Mali in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 76 eventsP of organized violence in Mali in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 59 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Mali in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 2,052P. The low estimate is 1,961 and the high estimate is 3,532P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.

Where are the events of Mali as a CSV file?

The file has one row for each event from 1 Sep 2024 to 30 Sep 2026. It has 1,302 rows. Download the events (CSV)