Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Iran and United Arab Emirates: events and estimated deaths compared

Data through The two countries are in the UCDP region Middle East

This comparison stays online because the site published it earlier. In the UCDP data through 30 Sep 2026, the site did not select this pair of countries. Search engines are asked not to list this page.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 519 eventsP in Iran and 10 eventsP in United Arab Emirates. The best estimate of deaths is 23,702P in Iran and 12P in United Arab Emirates. The two columns use the same periods and the same UCDP definitions.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 84 events in Iran and no events in United Arab Emirates. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is up 518 percentP in Iran. It is up from no eventsP in United Arab Emirates.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Side by side

Population: World Bank, 2025. A rate shows the count against the size of the country.

Table 1. Iran and United Arab Emirates: the same figures for the same periods
FigureIranUnited Arab Emirates
Events, September 202617P0P
Estimated deaths, September 202647P0P
Events, 12 months to 30 Sep 2026519P10P
Estimated deaths, 12 months to 30 Sep 202623,702P12P
Low estimate of deaths, 12 months23,693P12P
High estimate of deaths, 12 months23,792P12P
Deaths of civilians, 12 months7,195P8P
Events, state-based armed conflict, 12 months474P10P
Events, non-state conflict, 12 months00
Events, one-sided violence against civilians, 12 months45P0
Population (World Bank)92,417,68111,513,149
Events for each million inhabitants, 12 months5.6P0.9P
Deaths for each million inhabitants, 12 months256.5P1.0P
Regions with a page201

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

24 months

Each chart has its own scale. The page of each country has the figures as a table.

0250500Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Iran by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.
02.55Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 2. Events in United Arab Emirates by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.

The pages of the two countries: Iran and United Arab Emirates.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Iran and United Arab Emirates: events and estimated deaths compared. https://conflictstats.com/compare/iran-vs-united-arab-emirates/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.