Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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United Arab Emirates: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Population 11,513,149 (World Bank, 2025)

Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a country page at 25 or more events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. This page has 10.

Coverage ends on . Figures that include Candidate Events are preliminary. Compare the two recorded 12-month windows.

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in United Arab Emirates in September 2026. UCDP recorded no eventsP in August 2026.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 10 eventsP in United Arab Emirates. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 12P. UCDP counts 8P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 49 countries with a page, United Arab Emirates has the 49th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the UCDP region Middle East, United Arab Emirates has the 7th highest count of events of the 7 countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded no events in United Arab Emirates. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 10P, which is up from no events. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page together went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent.

Table 1. United Arab Emirates: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events0010
Estimated deaths, best estimate0012
Low estimate of deaths0012
High estimate of deaths0012
Deaths of civilians008

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for United Arab Emirates on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

Source: UCDP GED to December 2025, UCDP Candidate Events from January 2026.

02.55Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in United Arab Emirates by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
02.55Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 2. Estimated deaths in United Arab Emirates by month, best estimate. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.

UCDP recorded no event in this period, so the page has no map. (Events in United Arab Emirates, 3 Jul 2026 to 30 Sep 2026.)

Regions

A region is a first-level area in the UCDP data. A region needs 5 or more events in the last 12 months to have a page. Search engines list a region page at 30 or more.

Table 2. Regions of United Arab Emirates with a page, in name order: the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
RegionEventsEstimated deathsLast event
Abu Dhabi emirate5P6P3 Apr 2026

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. 1 region of United Arab Emirates has a page. 2 more regions have events and no page.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them. The glossary has the UCDP definition of an actor and of a dyad.

Table 3. United Arab Emirates: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Iran10P12P
Government of Israel, Government of United States of America10P12P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

Table 4. United Arab Emirates: UCDP dyads in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Dyad, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Government of Iran - Government of Israel, Government of United States of America10P12P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 5. United Arab Emirates: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict10P100%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians00%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

State-based conflict

A state-based armed conflict is a contested incompatibility that concerns government and/or territory where the use of armed force between two parties, of which at least one is the government of a state, results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in one calendar year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Non-state conflict

The use of armed force between two organised armed groups, neither of which is the government of a state, which results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

One-sided violence

The deliberate use of armed force by the government of a state or by a formally organised group against civilians which results in at least 25 deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Years

Years to 2025 are from the UCDP GED. The year 2026 is from Candidate Events and is not complete.

Table 6. United Arab Emirates: events and estimated deaths by year
YearEventsEstimated deathsDataset
201011GED
202213GED
2026, to 30 Sep 202610P12PCandidate Events

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events.

Table 7. Monthly reports of United Arab Emirates, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
April 20262P2PCandidate Events
March 20264P5PCandidate Events
February 20264P5PCandidate Events

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Refugees and asylum seekers

Not UCDP data. Source: UNHCR Refugee Population Statistics Database, CC BY 4.0, figures for the end of 2025.

Table 8. People from United Arab Emirates who are in other countries, end of 2025 (UNHCR)
GroupPeople
Refugees23,758
Asylum seekers46,287

These figures come from UNHCR. They are not a part of the UCDP counts of events and deaths. UNHCR has not endorsed this site. Read the UNHCR terms of use for datasets.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. United Arab Emirates: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/united-arab-emirates/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

The files are made from UCDP data, CC BY 4.0. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. The rate for the 12 months is 0.9 (preliminary) events for each million inhabitants.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in United Arab Emirates in September 2026?

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in United Arab Emirates in September 2026. UCDP recorded no eventsP in August 2026.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For United Arab Emirates in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 12P. The low estimate is 12 and the high estimate is 12P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.

Where are the events of United Arab Emirates as a CSV file?

The file has one row for each event from 1 Sep 2024 to 30 Sep 2026. It has 10 rows. Download the events (CSV)