Kenya and South Sudan: events and estimated deaths compared

Data through 30 Sep 2026The two countries are in the UCDP region Africa

Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a comparison when both countries have 100 or more events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 48 eventsP in Kenya and 56 eventsP in South Sudan. The best estimate of deaths is 71P in Kenya and 731P in South Sudan. The two columns use the same periods and the same UCDP definitions.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 29 events in Kenya and 40 events in South Sudan. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is up 66 percentP in Kenya. It is up 40 percentP in South Sudan.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.
An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date
UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on 2 Oct 2026.

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through 30 Sep 2026. The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Side by side

Population: World Bank, 2025. A rate shows the count against the size of the country.

Table 1. Kenya and South Sudan: the same figures for the same periods
Figure	Kenya	South Sudan
Events, September 2026	2P	1P
Estimated deaths, September 2026	3P	16P
Events, 12 months to 30 Sep 2026	48P	56P
Estimated deaths, 12 months to 30 Sep 2026	71P	731P
Low estimate of deaths, 12 months	67P	702P
High estimate of deaths, 12 months	169P	924P
Deaths of civilians, 12 months	17P	242P
Events, state-based armed conflict, 12 months	35P	21P
Events, non-state conflict, 12 months	7P	25P
Events, one-sided violence against civilians, 12 months	6P	10P
Population (World Bank)	57,532,493	12,188,788
Events for each million inhabitants, 12 months	0.8P	4.6P
Deaths for each million inhabitants, 12 months	1.2P	60.0P
Regions with a page	2	6

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

24 months

Each chart has its own scale. The page of each country has the figures as a table.

Figure 1. Events in Kenya by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.

Figure 2. Events in South Sudan by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.

The pages of the two countries: Kenya and South Sudan.

Official channels

UCDP DefinitionsThe definitions that UCDP uses.
UCDP Dataset Download CenterThe UCDP datasets, the codebooks and the citation of each dataset.

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on 2 Oct 2026.

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Kenya and South Sudan: events and estimated deaths compared. https://conflictstats.com/compare/kenya-vs-south-sudan/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through 30 Sep 2026.

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.