Countries › Kenya
Kenya conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP, data through 31 Jul 2026. Updated automatically as new monthly releases are published.
Kenya saw 20 recorded events and 45 estimated deaths from 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026. That is +122% on the preceding 90-day period.
The 12-month total for Kenya stands at 47 events and 76 estimated deaths. That is +52% on the previous 12 months. 72% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 19.
Violence in the last 90 days was concentrated in Mandera county (8), Garissa county (3), which together account for 55% of recorded events.
The most frequently recorded parties over the last 12 months were Government of Kenya, Al-Shabaab, Unidentified armed group.
Events in Kenya, last 90 days
Monthly trend
Most affected regions
| Region | Events, 90d | Change | Events, 12m | Deaths, 12m | Last event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mandera county | 8 | +700% | 10 | 26 | 28 Jul 2026 |
| Garissa county | 3 | -25% | 18 | 8 | 21 Jul 2026 |
9 further first-level administrative areas had fewer than 5 recorded events in the last 12 months and are not listed separately.
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2026 | Mandera county | Government of Kenya vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 11 |
| 9 May 2026 | Mandera county | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 6 civilian | 6 |
| 28 Jul 2026 | Mandera county | Government of Kenya vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 5 |
| 21 Jun 2026 | Tana River county | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 5 civilian | 5 |
| 18 May 2026 | — | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based | 4 |
| 18 May 2026 | Nairobi city county | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based | 4 |
| 1 Jun 2026 | Laikipia county | Government of Kenya vs Civilians One-sided, 2 civilian | 2 |
| 18 May 2026 | — | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based | 2 |
| 21 Jun 2026 | Wajir county | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 1 civilian | 1 |
| 9 Jun 2026 | Laikipia county | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based | 1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Kenya | 30 | 32 |
| Al-Shabaab | 30 | 31 |
| Unidentified armed group | 15 | 38 |
| Kamba | 3 | 12 |
| Somali | 3 | 12 |
| Garre subclan of Digil clan (Digil-Mirifle) | 2 | 2 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 34 | 72% |
| Non-state conflict | 6 | 13% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 7 | 15% |
Long-run view: events per year
| Year | Events | Est. deaths | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 107 | 228 | |
| 2018 | 69 | 164 | |
| 2019 | 51 | 188 | |
| 2020 | 65 | 151 | |
| 2021 | 54 | 135 | |
| 2022 | 31 | 101 | |
| 2023 | 57 | 224 | |
| 2024 | 30 | 112 | |
| 2025 | 31 | 80 | |
| 2026 (to date) | 36 | 63 |
Annual figures from the UCDP GED main release (through the last full year) plus Candidate Events for the current year, which are provisional.
Recent reports and news
Humanitarian reports (ReliefWeb)
- UNHCR Kenya: 2026 Funding Update (as of 31 August 2026) ReliefWeb, 15 Sep 2026
- Kenya: Staying and Moving: Refugee Adaptations to Cuts in Humanitarian Support ReliefWeb, 15 Sep 2026
- Kenya: IPC Acute Food Insecurity and Acute Malnutrition Analysis (July 2026 – January 2027), Published on 14 September 2026 ReliefWeb, 15 Sep 2026
- Kenya Statistics Infographics | August 2026 ReliefWeb, 14 Sep 2026
- Kenya Humanitarian Update, August 2026 | Save the Children Kenya ReliefWeb, 14 Sep 2026
- Kenya: East Africa Seasonal Monitor: El Niño impacts lead to poor production across East Africa’s high potential zones, September 11, 2026 ReliefWeb, 11 Sep 2026
- Kenya: UNHCR Regional Bureau for Eastern and Southern Africa | Consolidated Regional Community Feedback Analysis Report: January - March 2026 ReliefWeb, 10 Sep 2026
- Preparing Kenya’s Health System for Potential El Niño-Related Flooding ReliefWeb, 10 Sep 2026
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Kenya in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 47 organized-violence events in Kenya between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 76 deaths.
Is violence in Kenya increasing or decreasing?
Increasing. Events in the last 90 days (20) were up +122% on the preceding 90 days (9).
Which regions of Kenya are most affected?
Over the last 90 days the most events were recorded in Mandera county (8), Garissa county (3).
What kind of violence is recorded in Kenya?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Kenya, 72% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Candidate Events for the current year are provisional and may be revised in the next annual GED release. See methodology.