Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Afghanistan: events and estimated deaths in January 2026

Monthly reportDataset: UCDP Candidate Events, preliminaryData through

Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a monthly report when three things are true. The page of the country is listed. The month is one of the last 12 months. The month has 20 or more events.

UCDP recorded 6 eventsP of organized violence in Afghanistan in January 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 12P. The low estimate is 7 and the high estimate is 18P. UCDP counts 7P of these deaths as deaths of civilians. The count for December 2025 was 5 events.

The count for January 2025 was 23 events. The change from January 2025 to January 2026 is down 74 percentP. Among the 26 months with a report for Afghanistan, January 2026 has the 22nd highest count of events. Afghanistan holds 0 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in all countries with a page in January 2026. In January 2025, the share was 1 percent.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Regions

The table has 10 regions at most.

Table 1. Afghanistan, January 2026: events and estimated deaths by region, in name order
RegionEventsPEstimated deathsP
Baghlan province10
Faryab province10
Hirat province23
Jawzjan province11
Kabul province18

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Figure 1. Events in Afghanistan, January 2026. The map shows 6 events with 12 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Events

The table lists each event of the month. The CSV file of Afghanistan has each event.

Table 2. Afghanistan, January 2026: the events of the month, in the order of their dates
DatePlaceSides, as UCDP writes themType of violenceEstimated deathsPLowHigh
1 Jan 2026Maymana district, Faryab provinceGovernment of Afghanistan; AFFState-based004
4 Jan 2026Nahrin district, Baghlan provinceGovernment of Afghanistan; NRFState-based001
7 Jan 2026Khwaja Du Koh district, Jawzjan provinceGovernment of Afghanistan; CiviliansOne-sided101
12 Jan 2026Hirat provinceGovernment of Afghanistan; ISState-based303
15 Jan 2026Hirat district, Hirat provinceGovernment of Afghanistan; CiviliansOne-sided001
19 Jan 2026Kabul district, Kabul provinceGovernment of Afghanistan; ISState-based878

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 3. Afghanistan: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of January 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
AFF1P0P
Government of Afghanistan6P12P
IS2P11P
NRF1P0P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Afghanistan: events by type of violence, January 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict4P67%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians2P33%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

All months

Table 5. Monthly reports of Afghanistan, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202619P134PCandidate Events
August 202626P31PCandidate Events
July 20266P9PCandidate Events
June 202615P51PCandidate Events
May 20265P8PCandidate Events
April 202615P38PCandidate Events
March 202646P390PCandidate Events
February 202624P181PCandidate Events
January 20266P12PCandidate Events
December 202556GED
November 2025721GED
October 202515152GED
September 2025611GED
August 20251716GED
July 20251011GED
June 20251424GED
May 2025818GED
April 20251418GED
March 2025138GED
February 20252131GED
January 20252316GED
December 20242494GED
November 20241821GED
October 20241812GED
September 20242546GED
August 20241917GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Afghanistan: all figures

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Afghanistan: events and estimated deaths in January 2026. https://conflictstats.com/country/afghanistan/month/2026-01/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.