Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Central African Republic: events and estimated deaths in January 2026

Monthly reportDataset: UCDP Candidate Events, preliminaryData through

Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a monthly report when three things are true. The page of the country is listed. The month is one of the last 12 months. The month has 20 or more events.

UCDP recorded 9 eventsP of organized violence in Central African Republic in January 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 35P. The low estimate is 35 and the high estimate is 61P. UCDP counts 4P of these deaths as deaths of civilians. The count for December 2025 was 7 events.

The count for January 2025 was 8 events. The change from January 2025 to January 2026 is up 13 percentP. Among the 26 months with a report for Central African Republic, January 2026 has the 3rd highest count of events. Central African Republic holds 1 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in all countries with a page in January 2026. In January 2025, the share was 0 percent.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Regions

The table has 10 regions at most.

Table 1. Central African Republic, January 2026: events and estimated deaths by region, in name order
RegionEventsPEstimated deathsP
Haut-Mbomou prefecture124
Mambéré prefecture23
Nana-Mambéré prefecture11
Ouham prefecture22
Ouham-Fafa prefecture11
Vakaga prefecture24

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Figure 1. Events in Central African Republic, January 2026. The map shows 9 events with 35 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Events

The table lists each event of the month. The CSV file of Central African Republic has each event.

Table 2. Central African Republic, January 2026: the events of the month, in the order of their dates
DatePlaceSides, as UCDP writes themType of violenceEstimated deathsPLowHigh
1 Jan 2026Bambouti sub-prefecteure, Haut-Mbomou prefectureGovernment of Central African Republic; AAKGState-based242450
2 Jan 2026Senka-Mbaéré sub-prefecture, Mambéré prefectureGovernment of Central African Republic; CPCState-based222
3 Jan 2026Ouham prefectureAAKG; CiviliansOne-sided111
4 Jan 2026Birao sub-prefecture, Vakaga prefectureActor not identified by UCDP; CiviliansOne-sided222
5 Jan 2026Amdafock sub-prefecture, Vakaga prefectureFarmers (CAR); Herders (CAR)Non-state222
6 Jan 2026Markounda sub-prefecture, Ouham prefectureCPC; CPC-FNon-state111
9 Jan 2026Bouar sub-prefecture, Nana-Mambéré prefectureFarmers (CAR); Herders (CAR)Non-state111
23 Jan 2026Mambéré prefectureCPC; CiviliansOne-sided111
31 Jan 2026Batangafo sub-prefecture, Ouham-Fafa prefectureFarmers (CAR); Herders (CAR)Non-state111

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 3. Central African Republic: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of January 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
AAKG2P25P
Actor not identified by UCDP1P2P
CPC3P4P
CPC-F1P1P
Farmers (CAR)3P4P
Government of Central African Republic2P26P
Herders (CAR)3P4P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Central African Republic: events by type of violence, January 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict2P22%
Non-state conflict4P44%
One-sided violence against civilians3P33%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

All months

Table 5. Monthly reports of Central African Republic, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20265P8PCandidate Events
August 20265P11PCandidate Events
July 20264P8PCandidate Events
June 20264P32PCandidate Events
May 20264P11PCandidate Events
April 20267P29PCandidate Events
March 20264P10PCandidate Events
February 20267P28PCandidate Events
January 20269P35PCandidate Events
December 2025778GED
November 202528GED
October 202512GED
September 2025340GED
August 202546GED
July 2025111GED
June 2025411GED
May 2025518GED
April 202525GED
March 2025858GED
February 202510101GED
January 2025824GED
December 2024727GED
November 2024819GED
October 2024830GED
September 2024933GED
August 20241139GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Central African Republic: all figures

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Central African Republic: events and estimated deaths in January 2026. https://conflictstats.com/country/central-african-republic/month/2026-01/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.