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Central African Republic conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP, data through 31 Jul 2026. Updated automatically as new monthly releases are published. Population 5,513,282 (World Bank, 2025).
Between 3 May 2026 and 31 Jul 2026, UCDP recorded 11 organized-violence events in Central African Republic, down -39% from 18 in the preceding 90 days. Estimated deaths in the period: 46.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 55 events and 282 estimated deaths were recorded in Central African Republic. That is -32% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 282 and 308. 60% of events were classed as one-sided violence against civilians. Civilian deaths in the same period: 118. Relative to population, that is 10.0 events per million people.
The most affected areas over the last 90 days were Haut-Mbomou prefecture (3), Nana-Mambéré prefecture (2), Vakaga prefecture (1). Together they hold 55% of the period's events.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Russia (Soviet Union) - Civilians (14 events, 43 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025
Events in Central African Republic, last 90 days
Monthly trend
Most affected regions
| Region | Events, 90d | Change | Events, 12m | Deaths, 12m | Last event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haut-Mbomou prefecture | 3 | +50% | 10 | 41 | 8 Jul 2026 |
| Nana-Mambéré prefecture | 2 | +100% | 6 | 28 | 1 Jul 2026 |
| Vakaga prefecture | 1 | -75% | 13 | 99 | 30 Jun 2026 |
| Ouaka prefecture | 1 | -50% | 5 | 29 | 4 May 2026 |
| Ouham prefecture | 0 | -100% | 6 | 43 | 20 Apr 2026 |
11 further first-level administrative areas had fewer than 5 recorded events in the last 12 months and are not listed separately.
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Amdafock sub-prefecture Vakaga prefecture | Government of Central African Republic vs ASP State-based, 3 civilian, 11 sources | 28 |
| 4 May 2026 | Bambari sub-prefecture Ouaka prefecture | Government of Russia vs Civilians One-sided, 4 civilian | 4 |
| 1 Jul 2026 | Nana-Mambéré prefecture | Government of Russia vs Civilians One-sided | 3 |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Damara sub-prefecture Ombella-M'Poko prefecture | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 1 civilian, 5 sources | 2 |
| 8 Jul 2026 | Zemio sub-prefecture Haut-Mbomou prefecture | Government of Central African Republic vs AAKG State-based, 2 sources | 2 |
| 15 Jun 2026 | — | Government of Russia vs Civilians One-sided, 2 civilian | 2 |
| 13 Jul 2026 | Boali sub-prefecture Ombella-M'Poko prefecture | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 1 civilian, 3 sources | 1 |
| 29 Jun 2026 | Zemio sub-prefecture Haut-Mbomou prefecture | AAKG vs Civilians One-sided, 1 civilian, 3 sources | 1 |
| 2 Jun 2026 | Obo sub-prefecture Haut-Mbomou prefecture | AAKG vs Civilians One-sided, 1 civilian | 1 |
| 27 May 2026 | Bouca sub-prefecture Ouham-Fafa prefecture | Government of Central African Republic vs CPC State-based | 1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group | 22 | 108 |
| Government of Central African Republic | 14 | 155 |
| Government of Russia | 14 | 43 |
| AAKG | 8 | 38 |
| CPC | 5 | 25 |
| CPC-F | 4 | 43 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing (UCDP dyad) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Russia (Soviet Union) - Civilians | 14 | 43 |
| Unidentified armed group - Civilians | 8 | 12 |
| Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group | 7 | 48 |
| AAKG - Civilians | 6 | 12 |
| Government of Central African Republic - CPC-F | 3 | 42 |
| Government of Central African Republic - CPC | 3 | 23 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 17 | 31% |
| Non-state conflict | 5 | 9% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 33 | 60% |
Long-run view: events per year
| Year | Events | Est. deaths | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 222 | 1,865 | |
| 2018 | 89 | 643 | |
| 2019 | 65 | 507 | |
| 2020 | 56 | 299 | |
| 2021 | 167 | 1,080 | |
| 2022 | 105 | 773 | |
| 2023 | 88 | 426 | |
| 2024 | 99 | 498 | |
| 2025 | 55 | 362 | |
| 2026 (to date) | 38 | 148 |
Annual figures from the UCDP GED main release (through the last full year) plus Candidate Events for the current year, which are provisional.
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Central African Republic in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 55 organized-violence events in Central African Republic between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 282 deaths (range 282 to 308).
Is violence in Central African Republic increasing or decreasing?
Decreasing. Events in the last 90 days (11) were down -39% from the preceding 90 days (18).
Which regions of Central African Republic are most affected?
Over the last 90 days the most events were recorded in Haut-Mbomou prefecture (3), Nana-Mambéré prefecture (2), Vakaga prefecture (1), Ouaka prefecture (1).
Who are the main armed actors in Central African Republic?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Unidentified armed group (22 events), Government of Central African Republic (14 events), Government of Russia (14 events), AAKG (8 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Central African Republic?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Central African Republic, 60% of events over the last 12 months were one-sided violence against civilians.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Compare: Central African Republic vs South Africa · Central African Republic vs South Sudan · Central African Republic vs Tanzania · Central African Republic vs Kenya
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Feb 2025Jan 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Oct 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024
Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Candidate Events for the current year are provisional and may be revised in the next annual GED release. See methodology.