Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Central African Republic: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Population 5,513,282 (World Bank, 2025)

Coverage ends on . Figures that include Candidate Events are preliminary. Compare the two recorded 12-month windows.

UCDP recorded 5 eventsP of organized violence in Central African Republic in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 8P. The count for August 2026 was 5 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 59 eventsP in Central African Republic. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 260P. The low estimate is 260 and the high estimate is 286P. UCDP counts 101P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 49 countries with a page, Central African Republic has the 32nd highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the UCDP region Africa, Central African Republic has the 12th highest count of events of the 20 countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 68 events in Central African Republic. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 59P, which is down 13 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page together went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of one-sided violence are 56 percentP of the events in Central African Republic in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 13 percentP.

Table 1. Central African Republic: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events5559
Estimated deaths, best estimate811260
Low estimate of deaths811260
High estimate of deaths811286
Deaths of civilians52101

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Central African Republic on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

Source: UCDP GED to December 2025, UCDP Candidate Events from January 2026.

0510Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Central African Republic by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
0100200Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 2. Estimated deaths in Central African Republic by month, best estimate. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
Figure 3. Events in Central African Republic, 3 Jul 2026 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 13 events with 24 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Regions

A region is a first-level area in the UCDP data. A region needs 5 or more events in the last 12 months to have a page. Search engines list a region page at 30 or more.

Table 2. Regions of Central African Republic with a page, in name order: the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
RegionEventsEstimated deathsLast event
Haut-Mbomou prefecture10P41P8 Jul 2026
Nana-Mambéré prefecture7P10P17 Sep 2026
Ouaka prefecture3P9P4 May 2026
Ouham prefecture7P49P9 Aug 2026
Vakaga prefecture12P97P5 Aug 2026

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. 5 regions of Central African Republic have a page. 10 more regions have events and no page.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them. The glossary has the UCDP definition of an actor and of a dyad.

Table 3. Central African Republic: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
AAKG8P38P
Actor not identified by UCDP17P63P
ASP1P28P
CMSPR233
CPC5P11P
CPC-F4P43P
Farmers (CAR)3P4P
Government of Central African Republic17P147P
Government of Russia (Soviet Union)11P20P
Herders (CAR)3P4P
LRA3P9P
MPC, UPC1P6P
PRNC2P3P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

Table 4. Central African Republic: UCDP dyads in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Dyad, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
AAKG - Civilians6P12P
Actor not identified by UCDP - Actor not identified by UCDP8P49P
Actor not identified by UCDP - Civilians9P14P
CPC - Civilians1P1P
CPC - CPC-F1P1P
Farmers (CAR) - Herders (CAR)3P4P
Government of Central African Republic - AAKG2P26P
Government of Central African Republic - ASP1P28P
Government of Central African Republic - Civilians3P3P
Government of Central African Republic - CMSPR233
Government of Central African Republic - CPC3P9P
Government of Central African Republic - CPC-F342
Government of Central African Republic - LRA2P4P
Government of Central African Republic - PRNC1P2P
Government of Russia (Soviet Union) - Civilians11P20P
LRA - Civilians1P5P
MPC, UPC - Civilians1P6P
PRNC - Civilians1P1P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 5. Central African Republic: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict21P36%
Non-state conflict5P8%
One-sided violence against civilians33P56%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

State-based conflict

A state-based armed conflict is a contested incompatibility that concerns government and/or territory where the use of armed force between two parties, of which at least one is the government of a state, results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in one calendar year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Non-state conflict

The use of armed force between two organised armed groups, neither of which is the government of a state, which results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

One-sided violence

The deliberate use of armed force by the government of a state or by a formally organised group against civilians which results in at least 25 deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Years

Years to 2025 are from the UCDP GED. The year 2026 is from Candidate Events and is not complete.

Table 6. Central African Republic: events and estimated deaths by year
YearEventsEstimated deathsDataset
20172221,865GED
201889643GED
201965507GED
202056299GED
20211671,080GED
2022105773GED
202388426GED
202499498GED
202555362GED
2026, to 30 Sep 202649P172PCandidate Events

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events.

Table 7. Monthly reports of Central African Republic, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20265P8PCandidate Events
August 20265P11PCandidate Events
July 20264P8PCandidate Events
June 20264P32PCandidate Events
May 20264P11PCandidate Events
April 20267P29PCandidate Events
March 20264P10PCandidate Events
February 20267P28PCandidate Events
January 20269P35PCandidate Events
December 2025778GED
November 202528GED
October 202512GED
September 2025340GED
August 202546GED
July 2025111GED
June 2025411GED
May 2025518GED
April 202525GED
March 2025858GED
February 202510101GED
January 2025824GED
December 2024727GED
November 2024819GED
October 2024830GED
September 2024933GED
August 20241139GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Other countries of the UCDP region Africa

Comparisons

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Central African Republic: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/central-african-republic/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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The files are made from UCDP data, CC BY 4.0. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. The rate for the 12 months is 10.7 (preliminary) events for each million inhabitants.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Central African Republic in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 5 eventsP of organized violence in Central African Republic in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 5 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Central African Republic in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 260P. The low estimate is 260 and the high estimate is 286P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.

Where are the events of Central African Republic as a CSV file?

The file has one row for each event from 1 Sep 2024 to 30 Sep 2026. It has 136 rows. Download the events (CSV)