Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Ouaka prefecture, Central African Republic: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Ouaka prefecturePopulation about 276,710 (Wikidata)

This page stays online because the site published it earlier. A region page needs 5 or more events in the last 12 months. In the UCDP data through 30 Sep 2026, the count was under 5. Search engines are asked not to list this page.

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Ouaka prefecture, Central African Republic in September 2026. UCDP recorded no eventsP in August 2026.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 3 eventsP in Ouaka prefecture, Central African Republic. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 9P. UCDP counts 8P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 5 regions of Central African Republic with a page, Ouaka prefecture has the 5th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Ouaka prefecture holds 5 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Central African Republic in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 5 events in Ouaka prefecture. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 3P, which is down 40 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Central African Republic as a whole went from 68 to 59P, which is down 13 percent.

Table 1. Ouaka prefecture, Central African Republic: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events003
Estimated deaths, best estimate009
Low estimate of deaths009
High estimate of deaths009
Deaths of civilians008

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Ouaka prefecture, Central African Republic on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

012Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Ouaka prefecture by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Ouaka prefecture, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 3 events with 9 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Ouaka prefecture: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP1P4P
Government of Russia (Soviet Union)2P5P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Ouaka prefecture that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Ouaka prefecture in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Bambari sub-prefecture3P9P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Ouaka prefecture: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict1P33%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians2P67%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Ouaka prefecture, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
May 20261P4PCandidate Events
April 20261P1PCandidate Events
March 20261P4PCandidate Events
September 2025220GED
July 2025111GED
December 202410GED
November 202411GED
September 202411GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Ouaka prefecture, Central African Republic: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/central-african-republic/ouaka-prefecture/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Ouaka prefecture, Central African Republic in September 2026?

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Ouaka prefecture, Central African Republic in September 2026. UCDP recorded no eventsP in August 2026.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Ouaka prefecture, Central African Republic in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 9P. The low estimate is 9 and the high estimate is 9P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.