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Guatemala department, Guatemala: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Guatemala department, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 3,015,081 (Wikidata).
Recorded violence in Guatemala department, Guatemala eased over the 90 days to 31 Jul 2026: 2 events compared with 9 in the prior quarter (-78%). Estimated deaths: 3.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 23 events and 37 estimated deaths were recorded in Guatemala department. That is +64% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 34 and 39. 57% of events were classed as non-state conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 17. Relative to population, that is 7.6 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was M18 - MS-13 (7 events, 14 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025May 2025
Events in Guatemala department, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Guatemala department, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Guatemala municipality | 12 | 22 |
| San Pedro Sacatepéquez municipality | 4 | 5 |
| Mixco municipality | 4 | 5 |
| Villa Nueva municipality | 2 | 4 |
| Amatitlán municipality | 1 | 1 |
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | Guatemala municipality Guatemala department | MS-13 vs Civilians One-sided, 2 civilian | 2 0–2 |
| 24 May 2026 | Guatemala municipality Guatemala department | M18 vs MS-13 Non-state, 2 sources | 1 0–1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| MS-13 | 14 | 24 |
| M18 | 13 | 23 |
| Unidentified armed group | 6 | 8 |
| Los Caradura | 3 | 4 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| M18 - MS-13 | 7 | 14 |
| M18 - Civilians | 6 | 9 |
| MS-13 - Civilians | 4 | 6 |
| Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group | 3 | 4 |
| Los Caradura - MS-13 | 3 | 4 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 0 | 0% |
| Non-state conflict | 13 | 57% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 10 | 43% |
Recent reports mentioning Guatemala department
- Guatemala: PAHO Regional Situation Report No.11: Measles in the Region of the Americas (11 September 2026) ReliefWeb, 14 Sep 2026
- Guatemala: Análisis conjunto preliminar sobre posibles impactos humanitarios del fenómeno El Niño (septiembre 2026) ReliefWeb, 9 Sep 2026
- Guatemala: PAHO Regional Situation Report No.10: Measles in the Region of the Americas (1 September 2026) ReliefWeb, 2 Sep 2026
- Guatemala: Regional Humanitarian Pooled Fund - LAC and Anticipatory Action | Response Activities per Municipality (As of 18 June 2026) ReliefWeb, 27 Aug 2026
- Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador: Regional Humanitarian Pooled Fund - LAC and Anticipatory Action | Response Activities per Municipality (As of 18 June 2026) ReliefWeb, 27 Aug 2026
- Guatemala - Monitoreo de Flujos (01 - 31 julio 2026) ReliefWeb, 23 Aug 2026
- WFP Guatemala Country Brief, August 2026 ReliefWeb, 20 Aug 2026
- Guatemala - Actualización de mensajes clave: Daños en cultivos de Primera se extienden en el Corredor Seco (Julio 2026 - Enero 2027) ReliefWeb, 12 Aug 2026
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Guatemala department in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 23 organized-violence events in Guatemala department between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 37 deaths (range 34 to 39).
Is violence in Guatemala department increasing or decreasing?
Decreasing. Events in the last 90 days (2) were down -78% from the preceding 90 days (9).
Who are the main armed actors in Guatemala department?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were MS-13 (14 events), M18 (13 events), Unidentified armed group (6 events), Los Caradura (3 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Guatemala department?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Guatemala department, 57% of events over the last 12 months were non-state conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Monthly reports:Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025May 2025Feb 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Oct 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.