Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Iran: events and estimated deaths in January 2026

Monthly reportDataset: UCDP Candidate Events, preliminaryData through

UCDP recorded 32 eventsP of organized violence in Iran in January 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 19,894P. UCDP counts 5,445P of these deaths as deaths of civilians. The count for December 2025 was 4 events.

UCDP recorded no events in January 2025. Among the 24 months with a report for Iran, January 2026 has the 6th highest count of events. Iran holds 2 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in all countries with a page in January 2026. In January 2025, the share was 0 percent.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Regions

The table has 10 regions at most.

Table 1. Iran, January 2026: events and estimated deaths by region, in name order
RegionEventsPEstimated deathsP
Ardebil province150
Esfahan province105,542
Fars province385
Gilan province2608
Kerman province180
Kermanshah province311
Markazi province111
North Khorasan province112
Sistan and Baluchestan province33
Tehran province2203

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Figure 1. Events in Iran, January 2026. The map shows 32 events with 19,894 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Events

The table lists the events with 10 or more estimated deaths. The CSV file of Iran has each event.

Table 2. Iran, January 2026: events with 10 or more estimated deaths (17 of 32 events), in the order of their dates
DatePlaceSides, as UCDP writes themType of violenceEstimated deathsPLowHigh
1 Jan 2026Marvdasht county, Fars provinceGovernment of Iran; CiviliansOne-sided707070
8 Jan 2026Esfahan county, Esfahan provinceGovernment of Iran; CiviliansOne-sided300300350
8 Jan 2026Khomeynī Shahr county, Esfahan provinceGovernment of Iran; CiviliansOne-sided505070
8 Jan 2026Esfahan county, Esfahan provinceGovernment of Iran; CiviliansOne-sided4,3934,3934,393
8 Jan 2026Faridan county, Esfahan provinceGovernment of Iran; CiviliansOne-sided303050
8 Jan 2026Najafabad county, Esfahan provinceGovernment of Iran; CiviliansOne-sided7070140
8 Jan 2026Lenjan county, Esfahan provinceGovernment of Iran; CiviliansOne-sided505070
8 Jan 2026Shahin Shahr va Meymeh county, Esfahan provinceGovernment of Iran; CiviliansOne-sided600600600
8 Jan 2026Shahreza county, Esfahan provinceGovernment of Iran; CiviliansOne-sided404060
8 Jan 2026No place givenGovernment of Iran; CiviliansOne-sided13,28013,28010,680
8 Jan 2026Rasht county, Gilan provinceGovernment of Iran; CiviliansOne-sided6006003,000
8 Jan 2026Ardabil county, Ardebil provinceGovernment of Iran; CiviliansOne-sided505050
8 Jan 2026Kerman county, Kerman provinceGovernment of Iran; CiviliansOne-sided808080
8 Jan 2026Tehran county, Tehran provinceGovernment of Iran; CiviliansOne-sided201201201
8 Jan 2026Mamasani county, Fars provinceGovernment of Iran; CiviliansOne-sided141414
8 Jan 2026Esfarayen county, North Khorasan provinceGovernment of Iran; CiviliansOne-sided121212
8 Jan 2026Markazi provinceGovernment of Iran; CiviliansOne-sided111111

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

In a few events, the high estimate of UCDP is lower than the best estimate, or the low estimate is higher. The site shows the figures as UCDP publishes them.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 3. Iran: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of January 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP3P4P
Ansar al-Furqan1P1P
Government of Iran29P19,890P
IS1P1P
PJAK1P8P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Iran: events by type of violence, January 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict6P19%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians26P81%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

All months

Table 5. Monthly reports of Iran, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202617P47PCandidate Events
August 202613P17PCandidate Events
July 202647P97PCandidate Events
June 202618P46PCandidate Events
May 20266P26PCandidate Events
April 202657P254PCandidate Events
March 2026221P884PCandidate Events
February 2026100P2,429PCandidate Events
January 202632P19,894PCandidate Events
December 202544GED
November 202511GED
October 202533GED
September 202558GED
August 2025826GED
July 20251327GED
June 2025371,191GED
April 202524GED
March 202523GED
February 202511GED
December 202414GED
November 2024830GED
October 2024726GED
September 202436GED
August 202411GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Iran: all figures

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Iran: events and estimated deaths in January 2026. https://conflictstats.com/country/iran/month/2026-01/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.