Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Government of Iran: events recorded by UCDP

Data through The name is the name that UCDP writes

UCDP recorded 550 eventsP that involve Government of Iran in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 23,781P.

The low estimate is 23,774 and the high estimate is 23,872P. The count holds each event in which this actor is one of the two sides. It does not say which side caused a death. UCDP recorded these events in 6 countries.

Among the 133 actors with a page, Government of Iran has the 18th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Government of Iran is one of the two sides in 2 percentP of the 22,144P events in all countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 125 events that involve Government of Iran. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 550P, which is up 340 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 93 percentP of the events that involve Government of Iran in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 63 percentP.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

What UCDP calls an actor

A state or a non-state formally organised or informally organised group.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Since the last update

ConflictStats recorded this on .

  • UCDP recorded 550 events that involve Government of Iran in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 (preliminary). The count for the 12 months to 31 Aug 2026 was 220 (preliminary).

All changes recorded on 28 Oct 2026

24 months

0250500Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events that involve Government of Iran, by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.
Events that involve Government of Iran, by month, newest first
MonthEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Sep 202615P45P
Aug 202612P16P
Jul 202644P98P
Jun 202618P46P
May 20266P27P
Apr 202664P266P
Mar 2026250P948P
Feb 2026104P2,437P
Jan 202629P19,890P
Dec 202544
Nov 202511
Oct 202533
Sep 202558
Aug 2025826
Jul 20251428
Jun 2025461,221
May 202500
Apr 202524
Mar 202523
Feb 202511
Jan 202500
Dec 2024311
Nov 202417168
Oct 20242797

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Countries and regions

Where UCDP recorded the events, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The table of regions has 8 regions at most.

Table 1. Countries of the events that involve Government of Iran, in name order
CountryEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Iran500P23,674P
Iraq22P45P
Israel and Palestine8P25P
Lebanon9P20P
Syria1P5P
United Arab Emirates10P12P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Table 2. Regions of the events that involve Government of Iran, in name order
RegionCountryEvents
East Azarbaijan provinceIran34P
Esfahan provinceIran36P
Fars provinceIran22P
Hormozgan provinceIran40P
Kermanshah provinceIran21P
Khuzestan provinceIran24P
Sistan and Baluchestan provinceIran51P
Tehran provinceIran79P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Figure 2. Events that involve Government of Iran, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 550 events with 23,781 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Other sides

The other side of the events, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The table has 6 names at most.

Table 3. Other sides in the events that involve Government of Iran, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Israel, Government of United States of America442P3,727P
Jaish al-Adl36P73P
KDPI6P21P
Komalah5P13P
PJAK9P23P
PKK3P7P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Government of Iran: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict510P93%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians40P7%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Government of Iran: events recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/actor/government-of-iran/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Questions

How many events that involve Government of Iran did UCDP record?

UCDP recorded 550 eventsP that involve Government of Iran in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026.

What is an actor in UCDP data?

UCDP calls each side of an event an actor. An actor is a state, or a non-state group that is formally or informally organised. This site writes the name as UCDP writes it. It replaces the name of a group that is named for a person.

In which countries did UCDP record these events?

UCDP recorded them in 6 countries. The table of countries on this page lists them.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.