Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Baghdād province, Iraq: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Baghdād provincePopulation about 9,780,429 (Wikidata)

Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a region page at 30 or more events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. This page has 8.

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Baghdād province, Iraq in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 1 eventP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 8 eventsP in Baghdād province, Iraq. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 20P. UCDP counts 3P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 6 regions of Iraq with a page, Baghdād province has the 5th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Baghdād province holds 10 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Iraq in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 1 event in Baghdād province. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 8P, which is up 700 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Iraq as a whole went from 162 to 80P, which is down 51 percent.

Table 1. Baghdād province, Iraq: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events018
Estimated deaths, best estimate0220
Low estimate of deaths0220
High estimate of deaths0220
Deaths of civilians003

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Baghdād province, Iraq on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

0510Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Baghdād province by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 4.
Figure 2. Events in Baghdād province, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 8 events with 20 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Baghdād province: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP2P3P
Government of Iran2P8P
Government of Iraq3P7P
Government of Israel, Government of United States of America5P16P
Kataib Hezbollah1P2P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 3. Baghdād province: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict7P88%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians1P13%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 4. Monthly reports of Baghdād province, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
August 20261P2PCandidate Events
April 20261P2PCandidate Events
March 20266P16PCandidate Events
May 202511GED
September 202412GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Baghdād province, Iraq: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/iraq/baghdad-province/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Baghdād province, Iraq in September 2026?

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Baghdād province, Iraq in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 1 eventP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Baghdād province, Iraq in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 20P. The low estimate is 20 and the high estimate is 20P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.