Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Idlib governorate, Syria: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Idlib governoratePopulation about 1,501,000 (Wikidata)

Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a region page at 30 or more events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. This page has 24.

UCDP recorded 1 eventP of organized violence in Idlib governorate, Syria in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in this event is 17P. The count for August 2026 was 2 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 24 eventsP in Idlib governorate, Syria. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 45P. UCDP counts 11P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 12 regions of Syria with a page, Idlib governorate has the 8th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Idlib governorate holds 6 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Syria in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 25 events in Idlib governorate. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 24P, which is down 4 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Syria as a whole went from 690 to 427P, which is down 38 percent. Events of one-sided violence are 38 percentP of the events in Idlib governorate in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For Syria, the share is 59 percentP.

Table 1. Idlib governorate, Syria: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events1224
Estimated deaths, best estimate17245
Low estimate of deaths17245
High estimate of deaths17245
Deaths of civilians0211

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Idlib governorate, Syria on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

01020Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Idlib governorate by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Idlib governorate, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 24 events with 45 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Idlib governorate: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP19P37P
Government of Syria4P7P
IS5P8P
SDF11

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Idlib governorate that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Idlib governorate in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Ariha district4P4P
Harim district6P22P
Jisr ash Shughur district2P2P
Maarat al-Numaan district2P5P
Markaz Idlib district8P10P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Idlib governorate: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict11P46%
Non-state conflict4P17%
One-sided violence against civilians9P38%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Idlib governorate, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20261P17PCandidate Events
August 20262P2PCandidate Events
July 20263P4PCandidate Events
June 20265P5PCandidate Events
May 20263P4PCandidate Events
April 20262P2PCandidate Events
March 20263P3PCandidate Events
January 20262P2PCandidate Events
December 202525GED
October 202511GED
September 202522GED
June 202523GED
January 202514GED
December 2024332GED
November 20241119GED
October 2024620GED
September 20241022GED
August 20241115GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Syria: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Idlib governorate, Syria: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/syria/idlib-governorate/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Idlib governorate, Syria in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 1 eventP of organized violence in Idlib governorate, Syria in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 2 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Idlib governorate, Syria in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 45P. The low estimate is 45 and the high estimate is 45P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.