Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Tanzania: events and estimated deaths in October 2025

Monthly reportDataset: UCDP GEDData through

UCDP recorded 51 events of organized violence in Tanzania in October 2025. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 996. The low estimate is 397 and the high estimate is 2,678. UCDP counts 996 of these deaths as deaths of civilians. UCDP recorded no events in September 2025.

UCDP recorded no events in October 2024. Among the 8 months with a report for Tanzania, October 2025 has the highest count of events. Tanzania holds 2 percent of the events that UCDP recorded in all countries with a page in October 2025. In October 2024, the share was 0 percent.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Regions

The table has 10 regions at most.

Table 1. Tanzania, October 2025: events and estimated deaths by region, in name order
RegionEventsEstimated deaths
Arusha region49
Dar es Salaam region25477
Mara region33
Mbeya region34
Morogoro region11
Mwanza region8194
Shinyanga region11
Songwe region35
Figure 1. Events in Tanzania, October 2025. The map shows 51 events with 996 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Events

The table lists the events with 10 or more estimated deaths. The CSV file of Tanzania has each event.

Table 2. Tanzania, October 2025: events with 10 or more estimated deaths (6 of 51 events), in the order of their dates
DatePlaceSides, as UCDP writes themType of violenceEstimated deathsLowHigh
29 Oct 2025Mwanza regionGovernment of Tanzania; CiviliansOne-sided1364136
29 Oct 2025Dar es Salaam regionGovernment of Tanzania; CiviliansOne-sided3700370
29 Oct 2025Dar es Salaam regionGovernment of Tanzania; CiviliansOne-sided60067
29 Oct 2025Mwanza regionGovernment of Tanzania; CiviliansOne-sided25025
29 Oct 2025No place givenGovernment of Tanzania; CiviliansOne-sided301301301
31 Oct 2025Mwanza regionGovernment of Tanzania; CiviliansOne-sided141314

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 3. Tanzania: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of October 2025, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Tanzania51996

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

Type of violence

Table 4. Tanzania: events by type of violence, October 2025
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict00%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians51100%

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

All months

Table 5. Monthly reports of Tanzania, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
February 20261P1PCandidate Events
December 202510GED
November 2025210GED
October 202551996GED
May 202511GED
April 202522GED
November 202411GED
September 202411GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Tanzania: all figures

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Tanzania: events and estimated deaths in October 2025. https://conflictstats.com/country/tanzania/month/2025-10/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.