Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Tanzania: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Population 70,545,865 (World Bank, 2025)

Coverage ends on . Figures that include Candidate Events are preliminary. Compare the two recorded 12-month windows.

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Tanzania in September 2026. UCDP recorded no eventsP in August 2026.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 55 eventsP in Tanzania. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 1,007P. The low estimate is 408 and the high estimate is 2,690P. UCDP counts 1,007P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 49 countries with a page, Tanzania has the 34th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the UCDP region Africa, Tanzania has the 14th highest count of events of the 20 countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 4 events in Tanzania. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 55P, which is up 1275 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page together went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of one-sided violence are 100 percentP of the events in Tanzania in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 13 percentP.

Table 1. Tanzania: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events0055
Estimated deaths, best estimate001,007
Low estimate of deaths00408
High estimate of deaths002,690
Deaths of civilians001,007

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Tanzania on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

Source: UCDP GED to December 2025, UCDP Candidate Events from January 2026.

050100Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Tanzania by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
05001,000Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 2. Estimated deaths in Tanzania by month, best estimate. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.

UCDP recorded no event in this period, so the page has no map. (Events in Tanzania, 3 Jul 2026 to 30 Sep 2026.)

Regions

A region is a first-level area in the UCDP data. A region needs 5 or more events in the last 12 months to have a page. Search engines list a region page at 30 or more.

Table 2. Regions of Tanzania with a page, in name order: the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
RegionEventsEstimated deathsLast event
Arusha region5P10P12 Feb 2026
Dar es Salaam region274873 Nov 2025
Mwanza region819431 Oct 2025

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. 3 regions of Tanzania have a page. 7 more regions have events and no page.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them. The glossary has the UCDP definition of an actor and of a dyad.

Table 3. Tanzania: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Tanzania55P1,007P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

Table 4. Tanzania: UCDP dyads in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Dyad, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Government of Tanzania - Civilians55P1,007P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 5. Tanzania: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict00%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians55P100%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

State-based conflict

A state-based armed conflict is a contested incompatibility that concerns government and/or territory where the use of armed force between two parties, of which at least one is the government of a state, results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in one calendar year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Non-state conflict

The use of armed force between two organised armed groups, neither of which is the government of a state, which results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

One-sided violence

The deliberate use of armed force by the government of a state or by a formally organised group against civilians which results in at least 25 deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Years

Years to 2025 are from the UCDP GED. The year 2026 is from Candidate Events and is not complete.

Table 6. Tanzania: events and estimated deaths by year
YearEventsEstimated deathsDataset
2014110GED
201711GED
201811GED
201938GED
20201744GED
2021826GED
202234GED
202456GED
2025571,009GED
2026, to 30 Sep 20261P1PCandidate Events

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events.

Table 7. Monthly reports of Tanzania, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
February 20261P1PCandidate Events
December 202510GED
November 2025210GED
October 202551996GED
May 202511GED
April 202522GED
November 202411GED
September 202411GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Other countries of the UCDP region Africa

Comparisons

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Tanzania: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/tanzania/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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The files are made from UCDP data, CC BY 4.0. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. The rate for the 12 months is 0.8 (preliminary) events for each million inhabitants.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Tanzania in September 2026?

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Tanzania in September 2026. UCDP recorded no eventsP in August 2026.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Tanzania in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 1,007P. The low estimate is 408 and the high estimate is 2,690P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.

Where are the events of Tanzania as a CSV file?

The file has one row for each event from 1 Sep 2024 to 30 Sep 2026. It has 60 rows. Download the events (CSV)