Mwanza region, Tanzania: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through 30 Sep 2026Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Mwanza regionPopulation about 3,699,872 (Wikidata)

Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a region page at 30 or more events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. This page has 8.

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Mwanza region, Tanzania in September 2026. UCDP recorded no eventsP in August 2026.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 8 events in Mwanza region, Tanzania. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 194. The low estimate is 33 and the high estimate is 193. UCDP counts 194 of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 3 regions of Tanzania with a page, Mwanza region has the 2nd highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Mwanza region holds 15 percent of the events that UCDP recorded in Tanzania in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded no events in Mwanza region. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 8, which is up from no events. Over the same periods, the count for Tanzania as a whole went from 4 to 55P, which is up 1275 percent.

Table 1. Mwanza region, Tanzania: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
Figure	September 2026P	August 2026P	12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Events	0	0	8
Estimated deaths, best estimate	0	0	194
Low estimate of deaths	0	0	33
High estimate of deaths	0	0	193
Deaths of civilians	0	0	194

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

In a few events, the high estimate of UCDP is lower than the best estimate, or the low estimate is higher. The site shows the figures as UCDP publishes them.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.
An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date
UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on 2 Oct 2026.

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through 30 Sep 2026. The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Mwanza region, Tanzania on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on 2 Nov 2026. The data cover events through 30 Sep 2026. Changes in the data

24 months

Figure 1. Events in Mwanza region by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.

Figure 2. Events in Mwanza region, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 8 events with 194 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Mwanza region: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes it	Events	Estimated deaths in these events
Government of Tanzania	8	194

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

Second-level areas

The areas in Mwanza region that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Mwanza region in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes it	Events	Estimated deaths
Magu district council	2	8

Type of violence

Table 4. Mwanza region: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violence	Events	Share of events
State-based armed conflict	0	0%
Non-state conflict	0	0%
One-sided violence against civilians	8	100%

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Mwanza region, newest first: events and estimated deaths
Month	Events	Estimated deaths	Dataset
October 2025	8	194	GED

Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Tanzania: all figures

Official channels

UCDP Conflict Encyclopedia: TanzaniaThe page of this country in the UCDP Conflict Encyclopedia.
UCDP DefinitionsThe definitions that UCDP uses.
UCDP Dataset Download CenterThe UCDP datasets, the codebooks and the citation of each dataset.

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on 2 Oct 2026.

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Mwanza region, Tanzania: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/tanzania/mwanza-region/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through 30 Sep 2026.

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Events of Tanzania (CSV)The column admin1 holds the region.
Monthly reports of Mwanza region (RSS)The 12 newest monthly reports.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Mwanza region, Tanzania in September 2026?