Afghanistan and India: events and estimated deaths compared

Data through 30 Sep 2026The two countries are in the UCDP region Asia

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 189 eventsP in Afghanistan and 151 eventsP in India. The best estimate of deaths is 1,033P in Afghanistan and 328P in India. The two columns use the same periods and the same UCDP definitions.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 186 events in Afghanistan and 235 events in India. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is up 2 percentP in Afghanistan. It is down 36 percentP in India.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.
An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date
UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on 2 Oct 2026.

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through 30 Sep 2026. The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Side by side

Population: World Bank, 2025. A rate shows the count against the size of the country.

Table 1. Afghanistan and India: the same figures for the same periods
Figure	Afghanistan	India
Events, September 2026	19P	16P
Estimated deaths, September 2026	134P	28P
Events, 12 months to 30 Sep 2026	189P	151P
Estimated deaths, 12 months to 30 Sep 2026	1,033P	328P
Low estimate of deaths, 12 months	632P	309P
High estimate of deaths, 12 months	2,866P	333P
Deaths of civilians, 12 months	632P	69P
Events, state-based armed conflict, 12 months	159P	83P
Events, non-state conflict, 12 months	1P	39P
Events, one-sided violence against civilians, 12 months	29P	29P
Population (World Bank)	43,844,111	1,463,865,525
Events for each million inhabitants, 12 months	4.3P	0.1P
Deaths for each million inhabitants, 12 months	23.6P	0.2P
Regions with a page	13	9

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

24 months

Each chart has its own scale. The page of each country has the figures as a table.

Figure 1. Events in Afghanistan by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.

Figure 2. Events in India by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.

The pages of the two countries: Afghanistan and India.

Official channels

UCDP DefinitionsThe definitions that UCDP uses.
UCDP Dataset Download CenterThe UCDP datasets, the codebooks and the citation of each dataset.

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on 2 Oct 2026.

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Afghanistan and India: events and estimated deaths compared. https://conflictstats.com/compare/afghanistan-vs-india/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through 30 Sep 2026.

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.