Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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India: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Population 1,463,865,525 (World Bank, 2025)

Coverage ends on . Figures that include Candidate Events are preliminary. Compare the two recorded 12-month windows.

UCDP recorded 16 eventsP of organized violence in India in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 28P. The count for August 2026 was 11 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 151 eventsP in India. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 328P. The low estimate is 309 and the high estimate is 333P. UCDP counts 69P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 49 countries with a page, India has the 23rd highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the UCDP region Asia, India has the 4th highest count of events of the 9 countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 235 events in India. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 151P, which is down 36 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page together went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 55 percentP of the events in India in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 63 percentP.

Table 1. India: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events1611151
Estimated deaths, best estimate2817328
Low estimate of deaths2814309
High estimate of deaths2819333
Deaths of civilians3869

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

ConflictStats recorded this on .

  • UCDP recorded 16 events in India in September 2026 (preliminary). The count for August 2026 was 11 (preliminary).
  • UCDP recorded 28 estimated deaths in India in September 2026 (preliminary). The estimate for August 2026 was 17 (preliminary).

All changes recorded on 28 Oct 2026

24 months

Source: UCDP GED to December 2025, UCDP Candidate Events from January 2026.

02550Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in India by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
0100200Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 2. Estimated deaths in India by month, best estimate. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
Figure 3. Events in India, 3 Jul 2026 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 34 events with 54 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Regions

A region is a first-level area in the UCDP data. A region needs 5 or more events in the last 12 months to have a page. Search engines list a region page at 30 or more.

Table 2. Regions of India with a page, in name order: the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
RegionEventsEstimated deathsLast event
Arunachal Pradesh state6P8P29 Sep 2026
Chhattisgarh state25P78P2 May 2026
Jammu and Kashmir state23P32P29 Sep 2026
Jharkhand state9P33P4 May 2026
Maharashtra state3P10P4 Apr 2026
Manipur state36P80P26 Sep 2026
National Capital territory6P18P19 Mar 2026
Punjab state16P18P19 Sep 2026
West Bengal state6P7P13 Sep 2026

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. 9 regions of India have a page. 13 more regions have events and no page.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them. The glossary has the UCDP definition of an actor and of a dyad.

Table 3. India: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP12P15P
Adivasi1P2P
Arambai Tenggol1P3P
Bhatti network2P2P
BKI1P1P
Bodo1P2P
CPI-Maoist47P149P
Government of India86P207P
Government of Pakistan24
Group named for a person (name not shown)12P16P
Jaish-i-Mohammed1P2P
Kashmir insurgents26P46P
KNO3P13P
Kuki15P28P
Naga15P28P
NSCN-IM7P22P
NSCN-IM-E4P9P
NSCN-K4P6P
Supporters of BJP6P6P
Supporters of TMC5P5P
UKNA4P6P
UNLFW22
UPF1P5P
ZUF2P2P
ZUF-K2P2P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

Table 4. India: UCDP dyads in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Dyad, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Actor not identified by UCDP - Actor not identified by UCDP11P13P
Actor not identified by UCDP - Civilians1P2P
Adivasi - Bodo1P2P
Arambai Tenggol - Civilians1P3P
BKI - Civilians1P1P
CPI-Maoist - Civilians7P6P
Government of India - Bhatti network2P2P
Government of India - Civilians5P8P
Government of India - CPI-Maoist40P143P
Government of India - Government of Pakistan24
Government of India - Jaish-i-Mohammed1P2P
Government of India - Kashmir insurgents24P31P
Government of India - NSCN-IM-E2P3P
Government of India - NSCN-K4P6P
Government of India - UKNA4P6P
Government of India - UNLFW22
Group named for a person (name not shown) - Civilians5P5P
Group named for a person (name not shown) - Group named for a person (name not shown)3P5P
Kashmir insurgents - Civilians2P15P
KNO - Civilians1P4P
KNO - NSCN-IM2P9P
Kuki - Naga15P28P
NSCN-IM - Civilians4P9P
NSCN-IM - NSCN-IM-E1P4P
NSCN-IM-E - Civilians1P2P
Supporters of BJP - Group named for a person (name not shown)1P1P
Supporters of BJP - Supporters of TMC5P5P
UPF - Civilians1P5P
ZUF - ZUF-K2P2P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 5. India: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict83P55%
Non-state conflict39P26%
One-sided violence against civilians29P19%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

State-based conflict

A state-based armed conflict is a contested incompatibility that concerns government and/or territory where the use of armed force between two parties, of which at least one is the government of a state, results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in one calendar year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Non-state conflict

The use of armed force between two organised armed groups, neither of which is the government of a state, which results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

One-sided violence

The deliberate use of armed force by the government of a state or by a formally organised group against civilians which results in at least 25 deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Years

Years to 2025 are from the UCDP GED. The year 2026 is from Candidate Events and is not complete.

Table 6. India: events and estimated deaths by year
YearEventsEstimated deathsDataset
2017400847GED
2018481952GED
2019354734GED
2020390755GED
2021277521GED
2022266393GED
2023217406GED
2024234552GED
2025209623GED
2026, to 30 Sep 2026122P237PCandidate Events

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events.

Table 7. Monthly reports of India, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202616P28PCandidate Events
August 202611P17PCandidate Events
July 20267P9PCandidate Events
June 202610P14PCandidate Events
May 202614P25PCandidate Events
April 202614P32PCandidate Events
March 202613P20PCandidate Events
February 202616P32PCandidate Events
January 202621P60PCandidate Events
December 2025835GED
November 2025841GED
October 20251315GED
September 20252552GED
August 20251724GED
July 20251227GED
June 20251835GED
May 202535114GED
April 20252682GED
March 20251467GED
February 20251769GED
January 20251662GED
December 20241533GED
November 20241737GED
October 20242379GED
September 20241643GED
August 20241722GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Refugees and asylum seekers

Not UCDP data. Source: UNHCR Refugee Population Statistics Database, CC BY 4.0, figures for the end of 2025.

Table 8. People from India who are in other countries, end of 2025 (UNHCR)
GroupPeople
Refugees42,610
Asylum seekers181,121

These figures come from UNHCR. They are not a part of the UCDP counts of events and deaths. UNHCR has not endorsed this site. Read the UNHCR terms of use for datasets.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. India: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/india/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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The files are made from UCDP data, CC BY 4.0. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. The rate for the 12 months is 0.1 (preliminary) events for each million inhabitants.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in India in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 16 eventsP of organized violence in India in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 11 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For India in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 328P. The low estimate is 309 and the high estimate is 333P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.

Where are the events of India as a CSV file?

The file has one row for each event from 1 Sep 2024 to 30 Sep 2026. It has 402 rows. Download the events (CSV)