Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Afghanistan and Indonesia: events and estimated deaths compared

Data through The two countries are in the UCDP region Asia

This comparison stays online because the site published it earlier. In the UCDP data through 30 Sep 2026, the site did not select this pair of countries. Search engines are asked not to list this page.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 189 eventsP in Afghanistan and 73 eventsP in Indonesia. The best estimate of deaths is 1,033P in Afghanistan and 159P in Indonesia. The two columns use the same periods and the same UCDP definitions.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 186 events in Afghanistan and 77 events in Indonesia. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is up 2 percentP in Afghanistan. It is down 5 percentP in Indonesia.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Side by side

Population: World Bank, 2025. A rate shows the count against the size of the country.

Table 1. Afghanistan and Indonesia: the same figures for the same periods
FigureAfghanistanIndonesia
Events, September 202619P5P
Estimated deaths, September 2026134P13P
Events, 12 months to 30 Sep 2026189P73P
Estimated deaths, 12 months to 30 Sep 20261,033P159P
Low estimate of deaths, 12 months632P139P
High estimate of deaths, 12 months2,866P171P
Deaths of civilians, 12 months632P72P
Events, state-based armed conflict, 12 months159P44P
Events, non-state conflict, 12 months1P1P
Events, one-sided violence against civilians, 12 months29P28P
Population (World Bank)43,844,111285,721,236
Events for each million inhabitants, 12 months4.3P0.3P
Deaths for each million inhabitants, 12 months23.6P0.6P
Regions with a page132

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

24 months

Each chart has its own scale. The page of each country has the figures as a table.

02550Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Afghanistan by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.
01020Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 2. Events in Indonesia by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.

The pages of the two countries: Afghanistan and Indonesia.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Afghanistan and Indonesia: events and estimated deaths compared. https://conflictstats.com/compare/afghanistan-vs-indonesia/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

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