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Indonesia conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP, data through 31 Jul 2026. Updated automatically as new monthly releases are published. Population 285,721,236 (World Bank, 2025).
Between 3 May 2026 and 31 Jul 2026, UCDP recorded 18 organized-violence events in Indonesia, broadly level with 22 in the preceding 90 days (-18%). Estimated deaths in the period: 47.
The 12-month total for Indonesia stands at 77 events and 152 estimated deaths. That is +17% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 127 and 169. 58% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 64. Relative to population, that is 0.3 events per million people.
Violence in the last 90 days was concentrated in Papua Pegunungan province (11), Papua Tengah province (6), which together account for 94% of recorded events.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Indonesia - OPM (44 events, 98 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025
Events in Indonesia, last 90 days
Monthly trend
Most affected regions
| Region | Events, 90d | Change | Events, 12m | Deaths, 12m | Last event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Papua Pegunungan province | 11 | +175% | 33 | 67 | 22 Jul 2026 |
| Papua Tengah province | 6 | -54% | 33 | 69 | 2 Jul 2026 |
11 further first-level administrative areas had fewer than 5 recorded events in the last 12 months and are not listed separately.
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May 2026 | Jayawijaya regency Papua Pegunungan province | Lany Jaya vs Wouma Kurima Non-state, 2 sources | 13 |
| 21 May 2026 | Yahukimo regency Papua Pegunungan province | Government of Indonesia vs OPM State-based, 8 civilian, 12 sources | 10 8–10 |
| 24 Jul 2026 | — | Government of Indonesia vs Civilians One-sided, 3 civilian | 3 |
| 20 Jul 2026 | Yahukimo regency Papua Pegunungan province | OPM vs Civilians One-sided, 3 civilian | 3 0–3 |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Yahukimo regency Papua Pegunungan province | Government of Indonesia vs OPM State-based, 2 sources | 3 |
| 17 May 2026 | Intan Jaya regency Papua Tengah province | Government of Indonesia vs OPM State-based, 2 civilian, 2 sources | 2 |
| 17 May 2026 | Yahukimo regency Papua Pegunungan province | Government of Indonesia vs OPM State-based, 2 sources | 2 |
| 22 Jul 2026 | Pegunungan Bintang Papua Pegunungan province | Government of Indonesia vs OPM State-based | 1 0–1 |
| 20 Jul 2026 | Yahukimo regency Papua Pegunungan province | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based | 1 |
| 2 Jul 2026 | Yahukimo regency Papua Pegunungan province | Government of Indonesia vs OPM State-based, 1 civilian, 8 sources | 1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Indonesia | 62 | 119 |
| OPM | 57 | 117 |
| Unidentified armed group | 2 | 2 |
| Lany Jaya | 1 | 13 |
| Wouma Kurima | 1 | 13 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing (UCDP dyad) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Indonesia - OPM | 44 | 98 |
| Government of Indonesia - Civilians | 18 | 21 |
| OPM - Civilians | 13 | 19 |
| Lany Jaya - Wouma Kurima | 1 | 13 |
| Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group | 1 | 1 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 45 | 58% |
| Non-state conflict | 1 | 1% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 31 | 40% |
Long-run view: events per year
| Year | Events | Est. deaths | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 3 | 2 | |
| 2018 | 11 | 37 | |
| 2019 | 22 | 41 | |
| 2020 | 24 | 35 | |
| 2021 | 43 | 69 | |
| 2022 | 33 | 64 | |
| 2023 | 39 | 94 | |
| 2024 | 63 | 80 | |
| 2025 | 77 | 137 | |
| 2026 (to date) | 41 | 87 |
Annual figures from the UCDP GED main release (through the last full year) plus Candidate Events for the current year, which are provisional.
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Indonesia in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 77 organized-violence events in Indonesia between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 152 deaths (range 127 to 169).
Is violence in Indonesia increasing or decreasing?
Broadly stable. Events in the last 90 days (18) were within 20% of the preceding 90 days (22).
Which regions of Indonesia are most affected?
Over the last 90 days the most events were recorded in Papua Pegunungan province (11), Papua Tengah province (6).
Who are the main armed actors in Indonesia?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Government of Indonesia (62 events), OPM (57 events), Unidentified armed group (2 events), Lany Jaya (1 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Indonesia?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Indonesia, 58% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Compare: Indonesia vs Afghanistan · Indonesia vs India · Indonesia vs Philippines · Indonesia vs Bangladesh
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Feb 2025Jan 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Oct 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024
Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Candidate Events for the current year are provisional and may be revised in the next annual GED release. See methodology.