Afghanistan and Myanmar: events and estimated deaths compared

Data through 30 Sep 2026The two countries are in the UCDP region Asia

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 189 eventsP in Afghanistan and 583 eventsP in Myanmar. The best estimate of deaths is 1,033P in Afghanistan and 1,932P in Myanmar. The two columns use the same periods and the same UCDP definitions.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 186 events in Afghanistan and 797 events in Myanmar. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is up 2 percentP in Afghanistan. It is down 27 percentP in Myanmar.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.
An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date
UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on 2 Oct 2026.

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through 30 Sep 2026. The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Side by side

Population: World Bank, 2025. A rate shows the count against the size of the country.

Table 1. Afghanistan and Myanmar: the same figures for the same periods
Figure	Afghanistan	Myanmar
Events, September 2026	19P	56P
Estimated deaths, September 2026	134P	177P
Events, 12 months to 30 Sep 2026	189P	583P
Estimated deaths, 12 months to 30 Sep 2026	1,033P	1,932P
Low estimate of deaths, 12 months	632P	1,896P
High estimate of deaths, 12 months	2,866P	2,547P
Deaths of civilians, 12 months	632P	1,392P
Events, state-based armed conflict, 12 months	159P	501P
Events, non-state conflict, 12 months	1P	1P
Events, one-sided violence against civilians, 12 months	29P	81P
Population (World Bank)	43,844,111	54,850,648
Events for each million inhabitants, 12 months	4.3P	10.6P
Deaths for each million inhabitants, 12 months	23.6P	35.2P
Regions with a page	13	13

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

24 months

Each chart has its own scale. The page of each country has the figures as a table.

Figure 1. Events in Afghanistan by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.

Figure 2. Events in Myanmar by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.

The pages of the two countries: Afghanistan and Myanmar.

Official channels

UCDP DefinitionsThe definitions that UCDP uses.
UCDP Dataset Download CenterThe UCDP datasets, the codebooks and the citation of each dataset.

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on 2 Oct 2026.

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Afghanistan and Myanmar: events and estimated deaths compared. https://conflictstats.com/compare/afghanistan-vs-myanmar/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through 30 Sep 2026.

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.