Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

ConflictStats

Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

Search

Myanmar: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Population 54,850,648 (World Bank, 2025)

Coverage ends on . Figures that include Candidate Events are preliminary. Compare the two recorded 12-month windows.

UCDP recorded 56 eventsP of organized violence in Myanmar in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 177P. The low estimate is 177 and the high estimate is 181P. The count for August 2026 was 52 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 583 eventsP in Myanmar. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 1,932P. The low estimate is 1,896 and the high estimate is 2,547P. UCDP counts 1,392P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 49 countries with a page, Myanmar has the 14th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the UCDP region Asia, Myanmar has the 2nd highest count of events of the 9 countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 797 events in Myanmar. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 583P, which is down 27 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page together went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of non-state conflict are 0 percentP of the events in Myanmar in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 24 percentP.

Table 1. Myanmar: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events5652583
Estimated deaths, best estimate1771291,932
Low estimate of deaths1771281,896
High estimate of deaths1811942,547
Deaths of civilians1421141,392

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

ConflictStats recorded this on .

  • UCDP recorded 177 estimated deaths in Myanmar in September 2026 (preliminary). The estimate for August 2026 was 129 (preliminary).

All changes recorded on 28 Oct 2026

24 months

Source: UCDP GED to December 2025, UCDP Candidate Events from January 2026.

050100Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Myanmar by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
0250500Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 2. Estimated deaths in Myanmar by month, best estimate. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
Figure 3. Events in Myanmar, 3 Jul 2026 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 141 events with 387 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Regions

A region is a first-level area in the UCDP data. A region needs 5 or more events in the last 12 months to have a page. Search engines list a region page at 30 or more.

Table 2. Regions of Myanmar with a page, in name order: the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
RegionEventsEstimated deathsLast event
Ayeyarwady region5P8P21 Sep 2026
Bago region72P199P30 Sep 2026
Chin state35P94P30 Aug 2026
Kachin state30P130P28 Sep 2026
Kayah state18P52P28 Sep 2026
Kayin state14P20P27 Sep 2026
Magway region81P247P27 Sep 2026
Mandalay region58P243P23 Sep 2026
Mon state21P49P26 Sep 2026
Rakhine state72P294P28 Sep 2026
Sagaing region125P438P28 Sep 2026
Shan state20P67P21 Sep 2026
Tanintharyi region25P81P8 Sep 2026

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. 13 regions of Myanmar have a page. 2 more regions have events and no page.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them. The glossary has the UCDP definition of an actor and of a dyad.

Table 3. Myanmar: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP2P5P
CNF9P16P
CPU6P20P
Government of Myanmar (Burma)578P1,916P
KIO14P97P
KNPP8P19P
KNU49P167P
KTLA1P5P
NUG128P530P
PSLF18P65P
SCEF189P527P
ULA81P313P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

Table 4. Myanmar: UCDP dyads in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Dyad, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Actor not identified by UCDP - Actor not identified by UCDP2P5P
Government of Myanmar (Burma) - Civilians79P173P
Government of Myanmar (Burma) - CNF9P16P
Government of Myanmar (Burma) - CPU6P20P
Government of Myanmar (Burma) - KIO14P97P
Government of Myanmar (Burma) - KNPP8P19P
Government of Myanmar (Burma) - KNU49P167P
Government of Myanmar (Burma) - NUG128P530P
Government of Myanmar (Burma) - PSLF18P65P
Government of Myanmar (Burma) - SCEF187P517P
Government of Myanmar (Burma) - ULA80P312P
SCEF - Civilians1P5P
SCEF - KTLA1P5P
ULA - Civilians1P1P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 5. Myanmar: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict501P86%
Non-state conflict1Punder 1%
One-sided violence against civilians81P14%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

State-based conflict

A state-based armed conflict is a contested incompatibility that concerns government and/or territory where the use of armed force between two parties, of which at least one is the government of a state, results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in one calendar year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Non-state conflict

The use of armed force between two organised armed groups, neither of which is the government of a state, which results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

One-sided violence

The deliberate use of armed force by the government of a state or by a formally organised group against civilians which results in at least 25 deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Years

Years to 2025 are from the UCDP GED. The year 2026 is from Candidate Events and is not complete.

Table 6. Myanmar: events and estimated deaths by year
YearEventsEstimated deathsDataset
2017882,395GED
201871122GED
2019148587GED
202077207GED
20218571,781GED
20221,5492,761GED
20232,0903,073GED
20241,0962,896GED
20257102,317GED
2026, to 30 Sep 2026431P1,443PCandidate Events

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events.

Table 7. Monthly reports of Myanmar, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202656P177PCandidate Events
August 202652P129PCandidate Events
July 202635P87PCandidate Events
June 202640P106PCandidate Events
May 202651P187PCandidate Events
April 202645P127PCandidate Events
March 202650P268PCandidate Events
February 202652P145PCandidate Events
January 202650P217PCandidate Events
December 202546191GED
November 20255098GED
October 202556200GED
September 202559181GED
August 202569245GED
July 202558196GED
June 202553110GED
May 202570236GED
April 202568242GED
March 202547202GED
February 202564164GED
January 202570252GED
December 202473172GED
November 202472152GED
October 202494281GED
September 202437176GED
August 202463264GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Other countries of the UCDP region Asia

Comparisons

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Myanmar: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/myanmar/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Embed this card on your site

Copy this code into your page. The card shows the figures above with their source. A line under the card links to this page.

How embedding works. It is free. Keep the link in the card and the link line under it.

The files are made from UCDP data, CC BY 4.0. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. The rate for the 12 months is 10.6 (preliminary) events for each million inhabitants.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Myanmar in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 56 eventsP of organized violence in Myanmar in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 52 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Myanmar in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 1,932P. The low estimate is 1,896 and the high estimate is 2,547P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.

Where are the events of Myanmar as a CSV file?

The file has one row for each event from 1 Sep 2024 to 30 Sep 2026. It has 1,417 rows. Download the events (CSV)