Ecuador and Guatemala: events and estimated deaths compared

Data through 31 Aug 2026The two countries are in the UCDP region Americas

In the 12 months to 31 Aug 2026, UCDP recorded 136 eventsP in Ecuador and 32 eventsP in Guatemala. The best estimate of deaths is 433P in Ecuador and 50P in Guatemala. The two columns use the same periods and the same UCDP definitions.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.
An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date
UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on 2 Oct 2026.

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.8, with data through 31 Aug 2026. The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Side by side

Population: World Bank, 2025. A rate shows the count against the size of the country.

Table 1. Ecuador and Guatemala: the same figures for the same periods
Figure	Ecuador	Guatemala
Events, August 2026	0P	3P
Estimated deaths, August 2026	0P	5P
Events, 12 months to 31 Aug 2026	136P	32P
Estimated deaths, 12 months to 31 Aug 2026	433P	50P
Low estimate of deaths, 12 months	425P	44P
High estimate of deaths, 12 months	453P	51P
Deaths of civilians, 12 months	29P	19P
Events, state-based armed conflict, 12 months	5P	0
Events, non-state conflict, 12 months	116P	22P
Events, one-sided violence against civilians, 12 months	15P	10P
Population (World Bank)	18,289,896	18,687,881
Events for each million inhabitants, 12 months	7.4P	1.7P
Deaths for each million inhabitants, 12 months	23.7P	2.7P
Regions with a page	4	1

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

24 months

Each chart has its own scale. The page of each country has the figures as a table.

Figure 1. Events in Ecuador by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.

Figure 2. Events in Guatemala by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.

The pages of the two countries: Ecuador and Guatemala.

Official channels

UCDP DefinitionsThe definitions that UCDP uses.
UCDP Dataset Download CenterThe UCDP datasets, the codebooks and the citation of each dataset.

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on 2 Oct 2026.

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Ecuador and Guatemala: events and estimated deaths compared. https://conflictstats.com/compare/ecuador-vs-guatemala/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.8. Data through 31 Aug 2026.

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.