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Ecuador conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP, data through 31 Jul 2026. Updated automatically as new monthly releases are published.
Recorded violence in Ecuador eased over the 90 days to 31 Jul 2026: 3 events compared with 74 in the prior quarter (-96%). Estimated deaths: 4.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 156 events and 472 estimated deaths were recorded in Ecuador. That is -59% on the previous 12 months. 87% of events were classed as non-state conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 31.
The most affected areas over the last 90 days were Manabí province (1), Guayas province (1). Together they hold 67% of the period's events.
The most frequently recorded parties over the last 12 months were Unidentified armed group, Los Lobos, Los Choneros.
Events in Ecuador, last 90 days
Monthly trend
Most affected regions
| Region | Events, 90d | Change | Events, 12m | Deaths, 12m | Last event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manabí province | 1 | -95% | 70 | 191 | 14 Jun 2026 |
| Guayas province | 1 | -97% | 49 | 122 | 17 Jun 2026 |
| El Oro province | 0 | -100% | 16 | 101 | 25 Apr 2026 |
| Pichincha province | 0 | -100% | 7 | 9 | 11 Apr 2026 |
8 further first-level administrative areas had fewer than 5 recorded events in the last 12 months and are not listed separately.
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2026 | Manabí province | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 2 civilian | 2 |
| 12 Jul 2026 | Santa Elena province | Los Choneros vs Los Lobos Non-state | 1 |
| 17 Jun 2026 | Guayas province | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state | 1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group | 113 | 409 |
| Los Lobos | 77 | 230 |
| Los Choneros | 67 | 145 |
| Los Saobox | 6 | 30 |
| Los Aguilas | 5 | 8 |
| Los Chone Killers | 5 | 10 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 5 | 3% |
| Non-state conflict | 136 | 87% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 15 | 10% |
Long-run view: events per year
| Year | Events | Est. deaths | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 1 | 2 | |
| 2008 | 3 | 53 | |
| 2019 | 1 | 2 | |
| 2020 | 1 | 11 | |
| 2021 | 8 | 291 | |
| 2022 | 11 | 118 | |
| 2023 | 454 | 540 | |
| 2024 | 245 | 341 | |
| 2025 | 252 | 439 | |
| 2026 (to date) | 103 | 296 |
Annual figures from the UCDP GED main release (through the last full year) plus Candidate Events for the current year, which are provisional.
Recent reports and news
Humanitarian reports (ReliefWeb)
- Ecuador: Organised criminal groups target education every week | NRC ReliefWeb, 8 Sep 2026
- GIEWS Country Brief Ecuador 02-September-2026 ReliefWeb, 3 Sep 2026
- Caracterización del desplazamiento forzado interno en Ecuador: impactos y experiencias del desplazamiento en la vida cotidiana. Los casos de Ibarra, Quito y Cuenca como ciudades de destino. ReliefWeb, 1 Sep 2026
- ACNUR Ecuador: Informe Operacional No. 7 | Julio 2026 ReliefWeb, 27 Aug 2026
- UNHCR Ecuador: Operational Update No. 7 | July 2026 ReliefWeb, 27 Aug 2026
- Ecuador — Monitoreo de Flujos en Fronteras (julio 2026) ReliefWeb, 24 Aug 2026
- WFP Ecuador Country Brief, August 2026 ReliefWeb, 20 Aug 2026
- Ecuador: Desplazamiento forzado interno de familias de la comunidad de socio vivienda en Guayaquil - reporte preliminar - 2025 ReliefWeb, 3 Aug 2026
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Ecuador in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 156 organized-violence events in Ecuador between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 472 deaths.
Is violence in Ecuador increasing or decreasing?
Decreasing. Events in the last 90 days (3) were down -96% from the preceding 90 days (74).
Which regions of Ecuador are most affected?
Over the last 90 days the most events were recorded in Manabí province (1), Guayas province (1).
What kind of violence is recorded in Ecuador?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Ecuador, 87% of events over the last 12 months were non-state conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Candidate Events for the current year are provisional and may be revised in the next annual GED release. See methodology.