Mozambique and Niger: events and estimated deaths compared

Data through 30 Sep 2026The two countries are in the UCDP region Africa

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 110 eventsP in Mozambique and 141 eventsP in Niger. The best estimate of deaths is 424P in Mozambique and 1,147P in Niger. The two columns use the same periods and the same UCDP definitions.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 249 events in Mozambique and 135 events in Niger. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is down 56 percentP in Mozambique. It is up 4 percentP in Niger.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.
An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date
UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on 2 Oct 2026.

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through 30 Sep 2026. The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Side by side

Population: World Bank, 2025. A rate shows the count against the size of the country.

Table 1. Mozambique and Niger: the same figures for the same periods
Figure	Mozambique	Niger
Events, September 2026	14P	7P
Estimated deaths, September 2026	20P	62P
Events, 12 months to 30 Sep 2026	110P	141P
Estimated deaths, 12 months to 30 Sep 2026	424P	1,147P
Low estimate of deaths, 12 months	315P	966P
High estimate of deaths, 12 months	490P	1,548P
Deaths of civilians, 12 months	153P	356P
Events, state-based armed conflict, 12 months	38P	89P
Events, non-state conflict, 12 months	5P	8P
Events, one-sided violence against civilians, 12 months	67P	44P
Population (World Bank)	35,631,653	27,917,831
Events for each million inhabitants, 12 months	3.1P	5.1P
Deaths for each million inhabitants, 12 months	11.9P	41.1P
Regions with a page	2	4

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

24 months

Each chart has its own scale. The page of each country has the figures as a table.

Figure 1. Events in Mozambique by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.

Figure 2. Events in Niger by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.

The pages of the two countries: Mozambique and Niger.

Official channels

UCDP DefinitionsThe definitions that UCDP uses.
UCDP Dataset Download CenterThe UCDP datasets, the codebooks and the citation of each dataset.

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on 2 Oct 2026.

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Mozambique and Niger: events and estimated deaths compared. https://conflictstats.com/compare/mozambique-vs-niger/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through 30 Sep 2026.

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.