Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Niger: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Population 27,917,831 (World Bank, 2025)

Coverage ends on . Figures that include Candidate Events are preliminary. Compare the two recorded 12-month windows.

UCDP recorded 7 eventsP of organized violence in Niger in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 62P. The low estimate is 40 and the high estimate is 84P. The count for August 2026 was 11 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 141 eventsP in Niger. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 1,147P. The low estimate is 966 and the high estimate is 1,548P. UCDP counts 356P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 49 countries with a page, Niger has the 24th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the UCDP region Africa, Niger has the 9th highest count of events of the 20 countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 135 events in Niger. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 141P, which is up 4 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page together went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of non-state conflict are 6 percentP of the events in Niger in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 24 percentP.

Table 1. Niger: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events711141
Estimated deaths, best estimate62421,147
Low estimate of deaths4037966
High estimate of deaths84611,548
Deaths of civilians115356

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

ConflictStats recorded this on .

  • UCDP recorded 62 estimated deaths in Niger in September 2026 (preliminary). The estimate for August 2026 was 42 (preliminary).

All changes recorded on 28 Oct 2026

24 months

Source: UCDP GED to December 2025, UCDP Candidate Events from January 2026.

02550Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Niger by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
0250500Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 2. Estimated deaths in Niger by month, best estimate. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
Figure 3. Events in Niger, 3 Jul 2026 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 26 events with 211 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Regions

A region is a first-level area in the UCDP data. A region needs 5 or more events in the last 12 months to have a page. Search engines list a region page at 30 or more.

Table 2. Regions of Niger with a page, in name order: the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
RegionEventsEstimated deathsLast event
Diffa region17P65P23 Aug 2026
Dosso region23P146P22 Sep 2026
Tahoua region11P128P23 Sep 2026
Tillabéri region74P721P23 Sep 2026

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. 4 regions of Niger have a page. 3 more regions have events and no page.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them. The glossary has the UCDP definition of an actor and of a dyad.

Table 3. Niger: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP38P142P
Government of Niger71P745P
Government of Nigeria1P19P
IS76P705P
JAS2P20P
JNIM20P241P
MPLJ2P4P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

Table 4. Niger: UCDP dyads in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Dyad, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Actor not identified by UCDP - Actor not identified by UCDP28P106P
Actor not identified by UCDP - Civilians10P36P
Government of Niger - Civilians4P36P
Government of Niger - IS48P472P
Government of Niger - JNIM17P233P
Government of Niger - MPLJ2P4P
Government of Nigeria - JAS1P19P
IS - Civilians27P232P
IS - JNIM1P1P
JAS - Civilians1P1P
JNIM - Civilians2P7P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 5. Niger: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict89P63%
Non-state conflict8P6%
One-sided violence against civilians44P31%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

State-based conflict

A state-based armed conflict is a contested incompatibility that concerns government and/or territory where the use of armed force between two parties, of which at least one is the government of a state, results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in one calendar year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Non-state conflict

The use of armed force between two organised armed groups, neither of which is the government of a state, which results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

One-sided violence

The deliberate use of armed force by the government of a state or by a formally organised group against civilians which results in at least 25 deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Years

Years to 2025 are from the UCDP GED. The year 2026 is from Candidate Events and is not complete.

Table 6. Niger: events and estimated deaths by year
YearEventsEstimated deathsDataset
201716248GED
201825181GED
201972454GED
202068820GED
2021781,130GED
202273664GED
202397513GED
2024881,235GED
20251371,117GED
2026, to 30 Sep 2026120P1,026PCandidate Events

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events.

Table 7. Monthly reports of Niger, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20267P62PCandidate Events
August 202611P42PCandidate Events
July 20268P107PCandidate Events
June 202614P250PCandidate Events
May 20269P132PCandidate Events
April 202618P51PCandidate Events
March 202616P102PCandidate Events
February 202621P102PCandidate Events
January 202616P178PCandidate Events
December 20251047GED
November 2025327GED
October 2025847GED
September 202518162GED
August 2025531GED
July 202512134GED
June 202526211GED
May 202523210GED
April 2025824GED
March 20259116GED
February 2025896GED
January 2025712GED
December 202411272GED
November 2024411GED
October 2024410GED
September 20248103GED
August 2024556GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Other countries of the UCDP region Africa

Comparisons

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Niger: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/niger/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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The files are made from UCDP data, CC BY 4.0. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. The rate for the 12 months is 5.1 (preliminary) events for each million inhabitants.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Niger in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 7 eventsP of organized violence in Niger in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 11 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Niger in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 1,147P. The low estimate is 966 and the high estimate is 1,548P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.

Where are the events of Niger as a CSV file?

The file has one row for each event from 1 Sep 2024 to 30 Sep 2026. It has 284 rows. Download the events (CSV)