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Kabul province, Afghanistan: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Kabul province, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 5,766,181 (Wikidata).
Between 3 May 2026 and 31 Jul 2026, UCDP recorded 1 organized-violence events in Kabul province, Afghanistan, down -50% from 2 in the preceding 90 days. Estimated deaths in the period: 0.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 11 events and 292 estimated deaths were recorded in Kabul province. That is -73% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 112 and 446. 100% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 288. Relative to population, that is 1.9 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Afghanistan - AFF (6 events, 0 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jun 2026Mar 2026Jan 2026Oct 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025Mar 2025Feb 2025Jan 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024
Events in Kabul province, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Kabul province, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Kabul district | 10 | 288 |
| Bagrami district | 1 | 4 |
309,769 internally displaced people recorded in Kabul as of 31 Jan 2026. Source: IOM DTM via HDX HAPI.
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun 2026 | Kabul district Kabul province | Government of Afghanistan vs AFF State-based, 2 sources | 0 0–2 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Afghanistan | 9 | 281 |
| AFF | 6 | 0 |
| Government of Pakistan | 4 | 284 |
| TTP | 2 | 11 |
| IS | 1 | 8 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Afghanistan - AFF | 6 | 0 |
| Government of Afghanistan - Government of Pakistan | 2 | 273 |
| Government of Pakistan - TTP | 2 | 11 |
| Government of Afghanistan - IS | 1 | 8 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 11 | 100% |
| Non-state conflict | 0 | 0% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 0 | 0% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Kabul province in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 11 organized-violence events in Kabul province between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 292 deaths (range 112 to 446).
Is violence in Kabul province increasing or decreasing?
Decreasing. Events in the last 90 days (1) were down -50% from the preceding 90 days (2).
Who are the main armed actors in Kabul province?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Government of Afghanistan (9 events), AFF (6 events), Government of Pakistan (4 events), TTP (2 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Kabul province?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Kabul province, 100% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Monthly reports:Jun 2026Mar 2026Jan 2026Oct 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025Mar 2025Feb 2025Jan 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Oct 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024
Other regions of Afghanistan
Badakhshan province · Hirat province · Kunar province · Nangarhar province · Paktika province · Kunduz province · Baghlan province · Takhar province · Khost province · Kandahar province
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.