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Nangarhar province, Afghanistan: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Nangarhar province, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 1,735,531 (Wikidata).
Recorded violence in Nangarhar province, Afghanistan eased over the 90 days to 31 Jul 2026: 2 events compared with 9 in the prior quarter (-78%). Estimated deaths: 0.
The 12-month total for Nangarhar province stands at 17 events and 48 estimated deaths. That is +42% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 40 and 118. 82% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 30. Relative to population, that is 9.8 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Afghanistan - Government of Pakistan (9 events, 21 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Oct 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025Mar 2025Jan 2025Nov 2024
Events in Nangarhar province, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Nangarhar province, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Muhmand Dara district | 4 | 8 |
| Dara-i-Nur district | 3 | 8 |
| Bihsud district | 1 | 18 |
| Shinwar district (Ghani Khel) | 1 | 2 |
| Achin district | 1 | 2 |
| Khogyani district | 1 | 1 |
| Lal Pur district | 1 | 1 |
| Kama district | 1 | 1 |
| Surkh Rod district | 1 | 0 |
| Rodat district | 1 | 0 |
270,944 internally displaced people recorded in Nangarhar as of 31 Jan 2026. Source: IOM DTM via HDX HAPI.
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun 2026 | Surkh Rod district Nangarhar province | Government of Afghanistan vs Civilians One-sided, 2 sources | 0 0–1 |
| 22 May 2026 | Rodat district Nangarhar province | Government of Afghanistan vs Civilians One-sided | 0 0–1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Afghanistan | 16 | 30 |
| Government of Pakistan | 10 | 39 |
| IS | 4 | 9 |
| TTP | 1 | 18 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Afghanistan - Government of Pakistan | 9 | 21 |
| Government of Afghanistan - IS | 4 | 9 |
| Government of Afghanistan - Civilians | 3 | 0 |
| Government of Pakistan - TTP | 1 | 18 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 14 | 82% |
| Non-state conflict | 0 | 0% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 3 | 18% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Nangarhar province in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 17 organized-violence events in Nangarhar province between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 48 deaths (range 40 to 118).
Is violence in Nangarhar province increasing or decreasing?
Decreasing. Events in the last 90 days (2) were down -78% from the preceding 90 days (9).
Who are the main armed actors in Nangarhar province?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Government of Afghanistan (16 events), Government of Pakistan (10 events), IS (4 events), TTP (1 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Nangarhar province?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Nangarhar province, 82% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Monthly reports:Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Oct 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025Mar 2025Jan 2025Nov 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024
Other regions of Afghanistan
Badakhshan province · Hirat province · Kunar province · Paktika province · Kabul province · Kunduz province · Baghlan province · Takhar province · Khost province · Kandahar province
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.