Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Bujumbura province, Burundi: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Bujumbura province

Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a region page at 30 or more events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. This page has 13.

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Bujumbura province, Burundi in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 1 eventP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 13 eventsP in Bujumbura province, Burundi. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 13P. UCDP counts 12P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 4 regions of Burundi with a page, Bujumbura province has the highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Bujumbura province holds 38 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Burundi in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 4 events in Bujumbura province. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 13P, which is up 225 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Burundi as a whole went from 52 to 34P, which is down 35 percent.

Table 1. Bujumbura province, Burundi: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events0113
Estimated deaths, best estimate0113
Low estimate of deaths0113
High estimate of deaths0113
Deaths of civilians0112

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Bujumbura province, Burundi on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

02.55Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Bujumbura province by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Bujumbura province, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 13 events with 13 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Bujumbura province: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP1P1P
AFC1P1P
FDLR-FOCA1P1P
Government of Burundi10P10P
Government of DR Congo (Zaire)1P1P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Bujumbura province that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Bujumbura province in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Bubanza commune2P2P
Bukinanyana commune11
Cibitoke commune3P3P
Mpanda commune1P1P
Mugere commune1P1P
Mugina commune3P3P
Mukaza commune1P1P
Ntahangwa commune1P1P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Bujumbura province: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict1P8%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians12P92%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Bujumbura province, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
August 20261P1PCandidate Events
July 20263P3PCandidate Events
June 20261P1PCandidate Events
May 20263P3PCandidate Events
February 20262P2PCandidate Events
January 20262P2PCandidate Events
October 202511GED
September 202522GED
August 202522GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Burundi: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Bujumbura province, Burundi: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/burundi/bujumbura-province/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Bujumbura province, Burundi in September 2026?

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Bujumbura province, Burundi in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 1 eventP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Bujumbura province, Burundi in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 13P. The low estimate is 13 and the high estimate is 13P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.