Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Papua Tengah province, Indonesia: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Papua Tengah provincePopulation about 4,542,600 (Wikidata)

UCDP recorded 1 eventP of organized violence in Papua Tengah province, Indonesia in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in this event is 4P. The count for August 2026 was 2 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 32 eventsP in Papua Tengah province, Indonesia. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 73P. The low estimate is 63 and the high estimate is 81P. UCDP counts 31P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 2 regions of Indonesia with a page, Papua Tengah province has the highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Papua Tengah province holds 44 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Indonesia in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 34 events in Papua Tengah province. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 32P, which is down 6 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Indonesia as a whole went from 77 to 73P, which is down 5 percent. For the events in Papua Tengah province, the three types of violence have shares within 5 points of the shares for Indonesia.

Table 1. Papua Tengah province, Indonesia: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events1232
Estimated deaths, best estimate4673
Low estimate of deaths4663
High estimate of deaths4681
Deaths of civilians0231

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Papua Tengah province, Indonesia on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

0510Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Papua Tengah province by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Papua Tengah province, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 32 events with 73 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Papua Tengah province: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Indonesia30P71P
OPM22P62P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Papua Tengah province that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Papua Tengah province in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Dogiyai regency4P4P
Intan Jaya regency12P34P
Mimika regency4P7P
Nabire regency3P4P
Puncak Jaya regency2P2P
Puncak regency6P20P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Papua Tengah province: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict20P63%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians12P38%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Papua Tengah province, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20261P4PCandidate Events
August 20262P6PCandidate Events
July 20261P1PCandidate Events
June 20263P3PCandidate Events
May 20266P8PCandidate Events
April 20264P15PCandidate Events
March 20263P3PCandidate Events
February 20265P8PCandidate Events
December 202512GED
November 202524GED
October 2025419GED
September 202511GED
August 202557GED
July 202546GED
June 202523GED
May 2025816GED
April 2025310GED
March 202522GED
January 202511GED
December 202456GED
November 202423GED
October 202411GED
August 202433GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Indonesia: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Papua Tengah province, Indonesia: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/indonesia/papua-tengah-province/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Papua Tengah province, Indonesia in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 1 eventP of organized violence in Papua Tengah province, Indonesia in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 2 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Papua Tengah province, Indonesia in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 73P. The low estimate is 63 and the high estimate is 81P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.