Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Nampula province, Mozambique: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Nampula provincePopulation about 6,102,867 (Wikidata)

Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a region page at 30 or more events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. This page has 6.

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Nampula province, Mozambique in September 2026. UCDP recorded no eventsP in August 2026.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 6 events in Nampula province, Mozambique. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 24. The low estimate is 21 and the high estimate is 24. UCDP counts 24 of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 2 regions of Mozambique with a page, Nampula province has the 2nd highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Nampula province holds 5 percent of the events that UCDP recorded in Mozambique in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 27 events in Nampula province. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 6, which is down 78 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Mozambique as a whole went from 249 to 110P, which is down 56 percent.

Table 1. Nampula province, Mozambique: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Events006
Estimated deaths, best estimate0024
Low estimate of deaths0021
High estimate of deaths0024
Deaths of civilians0024

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Nampula province, Mozambique on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

0510Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Nampula province by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Nampula province, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 6 events with 24 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Nampula province: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Mozambique12
IS522

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

Second-level areas

The areas in Nampula province that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Nampula province in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Memba district412
Mogovolas district12

Type of violence

Table 4. Nampula province: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict00%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians6100%

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Nampula province, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
December 202512GED
November 2025421GED
October 202511GED
September 202511GED
July 202513GED
April 2025121GED
February 2025216GED
January 202538GED
December 2024717GED
November 2024819GED
October 2024410GED

Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Mozambique: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Nampula province, Mozambique: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/mozambique/nampula-province/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Nampula province, Mozambique in September 2026?

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Nampula province, Mozambique in September 2026. UCDP recorded no eventsP in August 2026.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Nampula province, Mozambique in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 24. The low estimate is 21 and the high estimate is 24.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.