Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Cabo Delgado province, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 2,333,278 (Wikidata).
5events, last 30 days
25events, last 90 days▲ +56% vs prior 90 days
112events, last 12 months48 per million people
413est. deaths, last 12 monthsrange 307–499, 186 civilians
Cabo Delgado province, Mozambique saw 25 recorded events and 100 estimated deaths from 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026. That is +56% on the preceding 90-day period.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 112 events and 413 estimated deaths were recorded in Cabo Delgado province. That is roughly the same as the 12 months before. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 307 and 499. 63% of events were classed as one-sided violence against civilians. Civilian deaths in the same period: 186. Relative to population, that is 48.0 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was IS - Civilians (61 events, 134 estimated deaths).
Recorded organized-violence events in Cabo Delgado province, 1 Aug 2025 to 31 Jul 2026. Circle size scales with estimated deaths.State-based Non-state One-sidedOutlines: Natural Earth.
Monthly trend
Recorded events per month in Cabo Delgado province, last 24 months
Hotspots within Cabo Delgado province, last 12 months
Area (second-level)
Events
Est. deaths
Macomia district
34
190
Muidumbe district
17
48
Mocímboa da Praia district
14
48
Ancuabe district
11
24
Chiúre district
7
27
Palma district
6
11
Balama district
5
11
Nangade district
5
7
Meluco district
3
11
Metuge district
3
6
160 internally displaced people recorded in Cabo Delgado as of 31 Mar 2025. Source: IOM DTM via HDX HAPI.
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
Date
Where
Parties
Est. deaths
22 Jun 2026
Macomia district Cabo Delgado province
Government of Mozambique vs IS State-based
27
5 Jul 2026
Macomia district Cabo Delgado province
Government of Mozambique vs IS State-based, 3 sources
18 3–18
16 May 2026
Chiúre district Cabo Delgado province
IS vs Naparama Non-state, 3 sources
14 2–38
24 Jul 2026
Macomia district Cabo Delgado province
Government of Mozambique vs IS State-based, 2 sources
6 0–6
23 Jul 2026
Macomia district Cabo Delgado province
Government of Mozambique vs IS State-based, 3 sources
How many conflict events were recorded in Cabo Delgado province in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 112 organized-violence events in Cabo Delgado province between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 413 deaths (range 307 to 499).
Is violence in Cabo Delgado province increasing or decreasing?
Increasing. Events in the last 90 days (25) were up +56% on the preceding 90 days (16).
Who are the main armed actors in Cabo Delgado province?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were IS (103 events), Government of Mozambique (46 events), Naparama (5 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Cabo Delgado province?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Cabo Delgado province, 63% of events over the last 12 months were one-sided violence against civilians.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.