Pakistan: events and estimated deaths in October 2025
UCDP recorded 102 events of organized violence in Pakistan in October 2025. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 450. The low estimate is 412 and the high estimate is 558. UCDP counts 33 of these deaths as deaths of civilians. The count for September 2025 was 103 events.
The count for October 2024 was 74 events. The change from October 2024 to October 2025 is up 38 percent. Among the 26 months with a report for Pakistan, October 2025 has the 10th highest count of events. Pakistan holds 5 percent of the events that UCDP recorded in all countries with a page in October 2025. In October 2024, the share was 3 percent.
Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.
An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date
UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .
This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.
The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.
Regions
The table has 10 regions at most.
| Region | Events | Estimated deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Balochistan province | 48 | 97 |
| Khyber Pakhtunkwa province | 53 | 353 |
| Sindh province | 1 | 0 |
Events
The table lists the events with 10 or more estimated deaths. The CSV file of Pakistan has each event.
| Date | Place | Sides, as UCDP writes them | Type of violence | Estimated deaths | Low | High |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2025 | Quetta district, Balochistan province | Government of Pakistan; TTP | State-based | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Khuzdar district, Balochistan province | Government of Pakistan; BRAS | State-based | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 7 Oct 2025 | Orakzai district, Khyber Pakhtunkwa province | Government of Pakistan; TTP | State-based | 35 | 18 | 35 |
| 9 Oct 2025 | Orakzai district, Khyber Pakhtunkwa province | Government of Pakistan; TTP | State-based | 30 | 30 | 30 |
| 10 Oct 2025 | Khyber district, Khyber Pakhtunkwa province | Government of Pakistan; IMP | State-based | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| 13 Oct 2025 | North Waziristan, Khyber Pakhtunkwa province | Government of Pakistan; TTP | State-based | 18 | 18 | 18 |
| 15 Oct 2025 | Kurram district, Khyber Pakhtunkwa province | Government of Pakistan; TTP | State-based | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| 16 Oct 2025 | Mohmand district, Khyber Pakhtunkwa province | Government of Pakistan; TTP | State-based | 45 | 45 | 50 |
| 17 Oct 2025 | North Waziristan, Khyber Pakhtunkwa province | Government of Pakistan; IMP | State-based | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| 17 Oct 2025 | North Waziristan, Khyber Pakhtunkwa province | Government of Pakistan; IMP | State-based | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Kurram district, Khyber Pakhtunkwa province | Government of Pakistan; TTP | State-based | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| 25 Oct 2025 | North Waziristan, Khyber Pakhtunkwa province | Government of Pakistan; TTP | State-based | 19 | 15 | 19 |
| 28 Oct 2025 | Kurram district, Khyber Pakhtunkwa province | Government of Pakistan; TTP | State-based | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Actors, as UCDP names them
Names as UCDP writes them.
| Name, as UCDP writes it | Events | Estimated deaths in these events |
|---|---|---|
| BRAS | 40 | 59 |
| Government of Afghanistan | 3 | 7 |
| Government of Pakistan | 94 | 436 |
| IMP | 4 | 40 |
| IS | 2 | 4 |
| TTP | 49 | 333 |
An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.
Type of violence
| Type of violence | Events | Share of events |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 90 | 88% |
| Non-state conflict | 0 | 0% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 12 | 12% |
The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.
All months
| Month | Events | Estimated deaths | Dataset |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 149P | 667P | Candidate Events |
| August 2026 | 144P | 535P | Candidate Events |
| July 2026 | 173P | 662P | Candidate Events |
| June 2026 | 140P | 430P | Candidate Events |
| May 2026 | 97P | 341P | Candidate Events |
| April 2026 | 72P | 202P | Candidate Events |
| March 2026 | 103P | 189P | Candidate Events |
| February 2026 | 80P | 314P | Candidate Events |
| January 2026 | 84P | 413P | Candidate Events |
| December 2025 | 106 | 223 | GED |
| November 2025 | 106 | 334 | GED |
| October 2025 | 102 | 450 | GED |
| September 2025 | 103 | 378 | GED |
| August 2025 | 92 | 228 | GED |
| July 2025 | 95 | 205 | GED |
| June 2025 | 72 | 165 | GED |
| May 2025 | 103 | 245 | GED |
| April 2025 | 83 | 225 | GED |
| March 2025 | 88 | 342 | GED |
| February 2025 | 92 | 241 | GED |
| January 2025 | 85 | 295 | GED |
| December 2024 | 74 | 242 | GED |
| November 2024 | 74 | 337 | GED |
| October 2024 | 74 | 185 | GED |
| September 2024 | 63 | 162 | GED |
| August 2024 | 71 | 222 | GED |
P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.
Cite this page
ConflictStats. Pakistan: events and estimated deaths in October 2025. https://conflictstats.com/country/pakistan/month/2025-10/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .
The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.