Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Sinaloa Cartel: events recorded by UCDP

Data through The name is the name that UCDP writes

UCDP recorded 360 eventsP that involve Sinaloa Cartel in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 566P.

The low estimate is 259 and the high estimate is 631P. The count holds each event in which this actor is one of the two sides. It does not say which side caused a death. UCDP recorded these events in 2 countries.

Among the 133 actors with a page, Sinaloa Cartel has the 27th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Sinaloa Cartel is one of the two sides in 2 percentP of the 22,144P events in all countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 605 events that involve Sinaloa Cartel. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 360P, which is down 40 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 0 percentP of the events that involve Sinaloa Cartel in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 63 percentP.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

What UCDP calls an actor

A state or a non-state formally organised or informally organised group.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Since the last update

The log has no change for Sinaloa Cartel on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

050100Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events that involve Sinaloa Cartel, by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.
Events that involve Sinaloa Cartel, by month, newest first
MonthEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Sep 20266P6P
Aug 20265P5P
Jul 202619P20P
Jun 202618P15P
May 202627P21P
Apr 202638P41P
Mar 202655P53P
Feb 202645P31P
Jan 202628P17P
Dec 20253346
Nov 202534175
Oct 202552136
Sep 20255078
Aug 20253853
Jul 20255574
Jun 202533296
May 20255655
Apr 20255243
Mar 20252223
Feb 20256761
Jan 2025631,068
Dec 20246186
Nov 20245856
Oct 20245078

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Countries and regions

Where UCDP recorded the events, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The table of regions has 8 regions at most.

Table 1. Countries of the events that involve Sinaloa Cartel, in name order
CountryEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Guatemala57
Mexico355P559P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Table 2. Regions of the events that involve Sinaloa Cartel, in name order
RegionCountryEvents
Baja California stateMexico140P
Chiapas stateMexico4P
Chihuahua stateMexico148P
Colima stateMexico7P
Huehuetenango departmentGuatemala4
Quintana Roo stateMexico4P
Sinaloa stateMexico46P
Zacatecas stateMexico3P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Figure 2. Events that involve Sinaloa Cartel, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 360 events with 566 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Other sides

The other side of the events, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The table has 6 names at most.

Table 3. Other sides in the events that involve Sinaloa Cartel, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Mexico1P1P
Jalisco Cartel New Generation160P266P
Juarez Cartel148P243P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Sinaloa Cartel: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict1Punder 1%
Non-state conflict308P86%
One-sided violence against civilians51P14%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Sinaloa Cartel: events recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/actor/sinaloa-cartel/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Questions

How many events that involve Sinaloa Cartel did UCDP record?

UCDP recorded 360 eventsP that involve Sinaloa Cartel in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026.

What is an actor in UCDP data?

UCDP calls each side of an event an actor. An actor is a state, or a non-state group that is formally or informally organised. This site writes the name as UCDP writes it. It replaces the name of a group that is named for a person.

In which countries did UCDP record these events?

UCDP recorded them in Guatemala and Mexico.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.