Baja California state, Mexico: conflict statistics

UCDP recorded 271 organized-violence events in Baja California state between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 302 deaths (range 164 to 420).

Decreasing. Events in the last 90 days (35) were down -46% from the preceding 90 days (65).

The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos (142 events), Jalisco Cartel New Generation, Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos (140 events), Jalisco Cartel New Generation (124 events), Sinaloa Cartel (124 events).

UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Baja California state, 100% of events over the last 12 months were non-state conflict.

Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.