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Mexico conflict statistics

Name: Mexico conflict event statistics
Creator: Uppsala Conflict Data Program
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Organized violence recorded by UCDP, data through 31 Jul 2026. Updated automatically as new monthly releases are published.

103events, last 30 days

455events, last 90 days▼ -27% vs prior 90 days

2,508events, last 12 months

3,565est. deaths, last 12 months160 civilians

Mexico logged 455 events and 559 estimated deaths from 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026, -27% against the preceding 90 days.

Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 2,508 events and 3,565 estimated deaths were recorded in Mexico. That is -14% on the previous 12 months. 95% of events were classed as non-state conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 160.

The most affected areas over the last 90 days were Sinaloa state (161), Guerrero state (73), Guanajuato state (67). Together they hold 66% of the period's events.

The most frequently recorded parties over the last 12 months were Unidentified armed group, Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos, Jalisco Cartel New Generation.

Events in Mexico, last 90 days

Recorded organized-violence events in Mexico, 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026. Circle size scales with estimated deaths.State-based Non-state One-sidedOutline: Natural Earth.

Monthly trend

Recorded events per month in Mexico, last 24 months

Estimated deaths per month in Mexico, last 24 months

Most affected regions

Region	Events, 90d	Change	Events, 12m	Deaths, 12m	Last event
Sinaloa state	161	-19%	782	931	28 Jul 2026
Guerrero state	73	0%	305	413	31 Jul 2026
Guanajuato state	67	-20%	475	661	29 Jul 2026
Chihuahua state	55	-29%	314	479	31 Jul 2026
Baja California state	35	-46%	271	302	2 Jul 2026
Ciudad de México	18	-50%	67	86	30 Jul 2026
México state	10	-57%	33	39	29 Jul 2026
Oaxaca state	6	-40%	16	33	26 Jul 2026
Veracruz state	4	-64%	27	50	3 Jul 2026
Michoacán state	3	-50%	76	107	12 Jun 2026
Morelos state	3	-25%	14	27	29 Jul 2026
Hidalgo state	3	+50%	9	11	5 May 2026
Tamaulipas state	3	0%	6	7	5 Jul 2026
Tabasco state	2	-33%	27	240	11 Jul 2026
Chiapas state	1	-80%	13	29	8 Jul 2026
Baja California Sur state	1	-80%	11	18	12 Jul 2026
Jalisco state	1	0%	7	20	7 Jul 2026
Sonora state	1	-50%	7	8	15 May 2026
Zacatecas state	1	-50%	5	13	1 Jun 2026
Colima state	0	-100%	16	23	19 Mar 2026
Quintana Roo state	0	-100%	5	7	30 Mar 2026

10 further first-level administrative areas had fewer than 5 recorded events in the last 12 months and are not listed separately.

Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days

Date	Where	Parties	Est. deaths
4 Jul 2026	Sinaloa state	Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based	11
31 May 2026	Sinaloa state	Jalisco Cartel New Generation, Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos vs Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos Non-state	7
8 Jul 2026	Chiapas state	Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state	6
20 May 2026	Guerrero state	Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state	6
14 May 2026	Sinaloa state	Jalisco Cartel New Generation, Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos vs Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos Non-state	6
28 Jul 2026	Chihuahua state	Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state	5
27 Jun 2026	Chihuahua state	Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state	5
1 Jun 2026	Sinaloa state	Jalisco Cartel New Generation, Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos vs Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos Non-state	5
14 May 2026	Guanajuato state	Jalisco Cartel New Generation vs Santa Rosa de Lima Cartel Non-state	5
3 May 2026	Nuevo León state	Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state	5

Most recorded parties, last 12 months

Party	Events	Est. deaths in those events
Unidentified armed group	1,065	1,564
Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos	822	908
Jalisco Cartel New Generation	639	1,161
Jalisco Cartel New Generation, Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos	586	722
Santa Rosa de Lima Cartel	455	621
Sinaloa Cartel	413	659

Type of violence, last 12 months

Category	Events	Share
State-based armed conflict	17	1%
Non-state conflict	2,385	95%
One-sided violence against civilians	106	4%

Long-run view: events per year

Year	Events	Est. deaths
2017	348	9,722
2018	714	11,247
2019	1,025	10,488
2020	2,034	13,434
2021	3,748	15,123
2022	2,179	12,554
2023	2,748	10,899
2024	2,687	11,036
2025	2,988	7,904
2026 (to date)	1,316	1,562

Annual figures from the UCDP GED main release (through the last full year) plus Candidate Events for the current year, which are provisional.

Recent reports and news

Humanitarian reports (ReliefWeb)

Mexico: Protection Monitoring (January - June 2026) ReliefWeb, 28 Aug 2026
Mexico: PAHO Regional Situation Report No.9: Measles in the Region of the Americas (14 August 2026) ReliefWeb, 27 Aug 2026
Mexico: Violencia Contra la Atención Sanitaria en Conflicto - 2025 ReliefWeb, 13 Jul 2026
Mexico: Violence Against Health Care in Conflict - 2025 ReliefWeb, 13 Jul 2026
Mexico: PAHO Regional Situation Report No.6: Measles in the Region of the Americas (2 July 2026) ReliefWeb, 3 Jul 2026
Let's be home for those who can't return to theirs - Annual Report 2025 UNHCR Mexico ReliefWeb, 23 Jun 2026
Mexico: Seamos hogar para quienes no pueden volver al suyo - Informe Anual 2025 ACNUR México ReliefWeb, 23 Jun 2026
Mexico: PAHO Regional Situation Report No.5: Measles in the Region of the Americas (18 June 2026) ReliefWeb, 19 Jun 2026

Frequently asked questions

How many conflict events were recorded in Mexico in the last 12 months?

UCDP recorded 2,508 organized-violence events in Mexico between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 3,565 deaths.

Is violence in Mexico increasing or decreasing?

Decreasing. Events in the last 90 days (455) were down -27% from the preceding 90 days (623).

Which regions of Mexico are most affected?

Over the last 90 days the most events were recorded in Sinaloa state (161), Guerrero state (73), Guanajuato state (67), Chihuahua state (55), Baja California state (35).

What kind of violence is recorded in Mexico?

UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Mexico, 95% of events over the last 12 months were non-state conflict.

Where does this data come from?

Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.

Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Candidate Events for the current year are provisional and may be revised in the next annual GED release. See methodology.