Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Rio Grande do Norte state, Brazil: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Rio Grande do Norte statePopulation about 3,507,003 (Wikidata)

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Rio Grande do Norte state, Brazil in September 2026. UCDP recorded no eventsP in August 2026.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 39 eventsP in Rio Grande do Norte state, Brazil. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 50P. UCDP counts 7P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 6 regions of Brazil with a page, Rio Grande do Norte state has the 4th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Rio Grande do Norte state holds 10 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Brazil in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 107 events in Rio Grande do Norte state. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 39P, which is down 64 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Brazil as a whole went from 802 to 407P, which is down 49 percent. Events of non-state conflict are 92 percentP of the events in Rio Grande do Norte state in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For Brazil, the share is 76 percentP.

Table 1. Rio Grande do Norte state, Brazil: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events0039
Estimated deaths, best estimate0050
Low estimate of deaths0050
High estimate of deaths0050
Deaths of civilians007

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Rio Grande do Norte state, Brazil on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

02550Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Rio Grande do Norte state by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Rio Grande do Norte state, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 39 events with 50 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Rio Grande do Norte state: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP11P14P
Comando Vermelho11
GDE, PCC19P22P
PCC914
Sindicato do Crime26P34P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Rio Grande do Norte state that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Rio Grande do Norte state in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Açu municipality4P5P
Apodi municipality4P5P
Areia Branca municipality1P2P
Brejinho municipality12
Caraúbas municipality2P3P
Macaíba municipality23
Mossoró municipality10P12P
Natal municipality22
São Gonçalo do Amarante Municipality24
Tibau do Sul municipality12

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Rio Grande do Norte state: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict00%
Non-state conflict36P92%
One-sided violence against civilians3P8%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Rio Grande do Norte state, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
March 20266P9PCandidate Events
February 202621P23PCandidate Events
December 202556GED
November 2025510GED
October 202522GED
September 2025713GED
August 2025910GED
July 202511GED
June 202511GED
May 20252224GED
April 202544GED
March 202511GED
February 20251313GED
January 20251919GED
December 20241619GED
November 202466GED
October 202489GED
September 202444GED
August 20241012GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Brazil: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Rio Grande do Norte state, Brazil: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/brazil/rio-grande-do-norte-state/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Rio Grande do Norte state, Brazil in September 2026?

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Rio Grande do Norte state, Brazil in September 2026. UCDP recorded no eventsP in August 2026.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Rio Grande do Norte state, Brazil in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 50P. The low estimate is 50 and the high estimate is 50P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.