Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Brazil: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Population 212,812,405 (World Bank, 2025)

Coverage ends on . Figures that include Candidate Events are preliminary. Compare the two recorded 12-month windows.

UCDP recorded 26 eventsP of organized violence in Brazil in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 29P. The count for August 2026 was 32 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 407 eventsP in Brazil. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 566P. The low estimate is 534 and the high estimate is 574P. UCDP counts 130P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 49 countries with a page, Brazil has the 18th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the UCDP region Americas, Brazil has the 3rd highest count of events of the 11 countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 802 events in Brazil. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 407P, which is down 49 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page together went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 0 percentP of the events in Brazil in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 63 percentP.

Table 1. Brazil: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events2632407
Estimated deaths, best estimate2936566
Low estimate of deaths2936534
High estimate of deaths2936574
Deaths of civilians57130

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

ConflictStats recorded this on .

  • UCDP recorded 407 events in Brazil in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 (preliminary). The count for the 12 months to 31 Aug 2026 was 335 (preliminary).

All changes recorded on 28 Oct 2026

24 months

Source: UCDP GED to December 2025, UCDP Candidate Events from January 2026.

0100200Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Brazil by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
0100200Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 2. Estimated deaths in Brazil by month, best estimate. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
Figure 3. Events in Brazil, 3 Jul 2026 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 76 events with 90 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Regions

A region is a first-level area in the UCDP data. A region needs 5 or more events in the last 12 months to have a page. Search engines list a region page at 30 or more.

Table 2. Regions of Brazil with a page, in name order: the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
RegionEventsEstimated deathsLast event
Acre state21P18P5 May 2026
Amapá state76P83P26 Sep 2026
Amazonas state153P160P30 Sep 2026
Rio de Janeiro state96P130P30 Sep 2026
Rio Grande do Norte state39P50P10 Mar 2026
Roraima state9823 Nov 2025

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. 6 regions of Brazil have a page. 14 more regions have events and no page.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them. The glossary has the UCDP definition of an actor and of a dyad.

Table 3. Brazil: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP183P210P
Amigos dos Amigos1P1P
Amigos Para Sempre1P1P
Bonde dos 13, PCC1413
Cartel do Norte1P1P
Comando Vermelho185P307P
Família Terror Amapá61P67P
GDE, PCC19P22P
Government of Brazil1P2P
Milicia do Zinho1P2P
PCC47P152P
Sindicato do Crime26P34P
Terceiro Comando Puro29P41P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

Table 4. Brazil: UCDP dyads in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Dyad, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Actor not identified by UCDP - Actor not identified by UCDP150P168P
Actor not identified by UCDP - Civilians33P42P
Amigos dos Amigos - Terceiro Comando Puro1P1P
Amigos Para Sempre - Família Terror Amapá1P1P
Bonde dos 13, PCC - Comando Vermelho1413
Cartel do Norte - Comando Vermelho1P1P
Comando Vermelho - Civilians51P56P
Comando Vermelho - Família Terror Amapá60P66P
Comando Vermelho - PCC39P139P
Comando Vermelho - Terceiro Comando Puro20P32P
GDE, PCC - Civilians1P1P
GDE, PCC - Sindicato do Crime18P21P
Government of Brazil - Civilians1P2P
Milicia do Zinho - Civilians1P2P
PCC - Sindicato do Crime813
Terceiro Comando Puro - Civilians8P8P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 5. Brazil: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict1Punder 1%
Non-state conflict311P76%
One-sided violence against civilians95P23%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

State-based conflict

A state-based armed conflict is a contested incompatibility that concerns government and/or territory where the use of armed force between two parties, of which at least one is the government of a state, results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in one calendar year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Non-state conflict

The use of armed force between two organised armed groups, neither of which is the government of a state, which results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

One-sided violence

The deliberate use of armed force by the government of a state or by a formally organised group against civilians which results in at least 25 deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Years

Years to 2025 are from the UCDP GED. The year 2026 is from Candidate Events and is not complete.

Table 6. Brazil: events and estimated deaths by year
YearEventsEstimated deathsDataset
20173163,062GED
20183572,662GED
20196361,731GED
20207452,672GED
20218432,661GED
20221,5221,711GED
20232,1622,482GED
20241,4951,676GED
2025552619GED
2026, to 30 Sep 2026315P468PCandidate Events

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events.

Table 7. Monthly reports of Brazil, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202626P29PCandidate Events
August 202632P36PCandidate Events
July 202618P25PCandidate Events
June 202635P41PCandidate Events
May 202626P30PCandidate Events
April 202633P38PCandidate Events
March 202645P55PCandidate Events
February 202648P59PCandidate Events
January 202652P155PCandidate Events
December 20252832GED
November 20252831GED
October 20253635GED
September 20252734GED
August 20255962GED
July 20256178GED
June 20255164GED
May 20258695GED
April 20251820GED
March 20252020GED
February 20254242GED
January 202596106GED
December 2024116132GED
November 2024110120GED
October 2024116127GED
September 202498113GED
August 2024101112GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Other countries of the UCDP region Americas

Comparisons

Refugees and asylum seekers

Not UCDP data. Source: UNHCR Refugee Population Statistics Database, CC BY 4.0, figures for the end of 2025.

Table 8. People from Brazil who are in other countries, end of 2025 (UNHCR)
GroupPeople
Refugees6,306
Asylum seekers66,672

These figures come from UNHCR. They are not a part of the UCDP counts of events and deaths. UNHCR has not endorsed this site. Read the UNHCR terms of use for datasets.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Brazil: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/brazil/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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The files are made from UCDP data, CC BY 4.0. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. The rate for the 12 months is 1.9 (preliminary) events for each million inhabitants.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Brazil in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 26 eventsP of organized violence in Brazil in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 32 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Brazil in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 566P. The low estimate is 534 and the high estimate is 574P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.

Where are the events of Brazil as a CSV file?

The file has one row for each event from 1 Sep 2024 to 30 Sep 2026. It has 1,307 rows. Download the events (CSV)