Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Fars province, Iran: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Fars provincePopulation about 4,851,274 (Wikidata)

Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a region page at 30 or more events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. This page has 22.

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Fars province, Iran in September 2026. UCDP recorded no eventsP in August 2026.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 22 eventsP in Fars province, Iran. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 166P. The low estimate is 166 and the high estimate is 198P. UCDP counts 136P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 20 regions of Iran with a page, Fars province has the 8th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Fars province holds 4 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Iran in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded no events in Fars province. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 22P, which is up from no events. Over the same periods, the count for Iran as a whole went from 84 to 519P, which is up 518 percent. For the events in Fars province, the three types of violence have shares within 5 points of the shares for Iran.

Table 1. Fars province, Iran: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events0022
Estimated deaths, best estimate00166
Low estimate of deaths00166
High estimate of deaths00198
Deaths of civilians00136

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Fars province, Iran on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

0510Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Fars province by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Fars province, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 22 events with 166 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Fars province: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Iran22P166P
Government of Israel, Government of United States of America19P81P
IS1P1P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Fars province that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Fars province in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Firuzabad county1P2P
Jahrom county1P3P
Lamerd county1P21P
Larestan county2P10P
Mamasani county1P14P
Marvdasht county2P71P
Shiraz county12P42P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Fars province: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict20P91%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians2P9%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Fars province, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
April 20264P7PCandidate Events
March 202610P47PCandidate Events
February 20265P27PCandidate Events
January 20263P85PCandidate Events

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Iran: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Fars province, Iran: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/iran/fars-province/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Fars province, Iran in September 2026?

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Fars province, Iran in September 2026. UCDP recorded no eventsP in August 2026.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Fars province, Iran in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 166P. The low estimate is 166 and the high estimate is 198P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.