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Tehran province, Iran: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Tehran province, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 13,422,366 (Wikidata).
Between 3 May 2026 and 31 Jul 2026, UCDP recorded 1 organized-violence events in Tehran province, Iran, down -95% from 20 in the preceding 90 days. Estimated deaths in the period: 2.
The 12-month total for Tehran province stands at 24 events and 293 estimated deaths. That is +140% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 291 and 296. 88% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 14. Relative to population, that is 1.8 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Iran - Government of Israel, Government of United States of America (21 events, 88 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jun 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Jun 2025Oct 2024Jul 2024
Events in Tehran province, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Tehran province, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Tehran county | 20 | 242 |
| Baharestan county | 1 | 23 |
| Eslamshahr county | 1 | 13 |
| Shahriar county | 1 | 9 |
| Pardis county | 1 | 6 |
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2026 | Tehran county Tehran province | Government of Iran vs Government of Israel, Government of United States of America State-based, 2 sources | 2 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Iran | 23 | 291 |
| Government of Israel, Government of United States of America | 21 | 88 |
| Government of Afghanistan | 1 | 2 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Iran - Government of Israel, Government of United States of America | 21 | 88 |
| Government of Iran - Civilians | 2 | 203 |
| Government of Afghanistan - Civilians | 1 | 2 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 21 | 88% |
| Non-state conflict | 0 | 0% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 3 | 13% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Tehran province in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 24 organized-violence events in Tehran province between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 293 deaths (range 291 to 296).
Is violence in Tehran province increasing or decreasing?
Decreasing. Events in the last 90 days (1) were down -95% from the preceding 90 days (20).
Who are the main armed actors in Tehran province?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Government of Iran (23 events), Government of Israel, Government of United States of America (21 events), Government of Afghanistan (1 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Tehran province?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Tehran province, 88% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Other regions of Iran
Sistan and Baluchestan province · Kordestan province · West Azarbaijan province · Hormozgan province · Khuzestan province · Kermanshah province · Esfahan province · Fars province
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.