Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Nabatiye province, Lebanon: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Nabatiye province

UCDP recorded 12 eventsP of organized violence in Nabatiye province, Lebanon in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 36P. The count for August 2026 was 9 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 282 eventsP in Nabatiye province, Lebanon. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 747P. UCDP counts 160P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 6 regions of Lebanon with a page, Nabatiye province has the highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Nabatiye province holds 46 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Lebanon in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 364 events in Nabatiye province. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 282P, which is down 23 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Lebanon as a whole went from 861 to 610P, which is down 29 percent. For the events in Nabatiye province, the three types of violence have shares within 5 points of the shares for Lebanon.

Table 1. Nabatiye province, Lebanon: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events129282
Estimated deaths, best estimate3623747
Low estimate of deaths3623747
High estimate of deaths3623747
Deaths of civilians117160

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Nabatiye province, Lebanon on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

0100200Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Nabatiye province by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Nabatiye province, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 282 events with 747 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Nabatiye province: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Israel282P747P
Hezbollah282P747P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Nabatiye province that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Nabatiye province in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Bint Jubayl county77P146P
Hasbaiya county5P6P
Marjayoun county30P96P
Nabatiye county170P499P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Nabatiye province: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict282P100%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians00%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Nabatiye province, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202612P36PCandidate Events
August 20269P23PCandidate Events
July 20268P17PCandidate Events
June 202650P136PCandidate Events
May 202651P157PCandidate Events
April 202645P109PCandidate Events
March 202660P212PCandidate Events
February 20265P5PCandidate Events
January 20269P13PCandidate Events
December 202555GED
November 20251417GED
October 20251417GED
September 20251014GED
August 20251111GED
July 20251212GED
June 20251418GED
May 20251618GED
April 2025911GED
March 20251526GED
February 202567GED
January 20251445GED
December 20241547GED
November 2024100215GED
October 2024142396GED
September 202450156GED
August 20241327GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Lebanon: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Nabatiye province, Lebanon: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/lebanon/nabatiye-province/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Nabatiye province, Lebanon in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 12 eventsP of organized violence in Nabatiye province, Lebanon in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 9 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Nabatiye province, Lebanon in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 747P. The low estimate is 747 and the high estimate is 747P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.