Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Baja California state, Mexico: events and estimated deaths in October 2025

Monthly report of a regionDataset: UCDP GEDData through

Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a monthly report when three things are true. The page of the region is listed. The month is one of the last 12 months. The month has 30 or more events.

UCDP recorded 27 events of organized violence in Baja California state, Mexico in October 2025. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 20. The low estimate is 20 and the high estimate is 36. UCDP counts 0 of these deaths as deaths of civilians. The count for September 2025 was 38 events.

The count for October 2024 was 21 events. The change from October 2024 to October 2025 is up 29 percent. Among the 26 months with a report for Baja California state, Mexico, October 2025 has the 12th highest count of events. Baja California state, Mexico holds 11 percent of the events that UCDP recorded in Mexico in October 2025. In October 2024, the share was 8 percent.

The report of the country for this month: Mexico, October 2025.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Events

The table lists the events with 10 or more estimated deaths. The CSV file of Mexico has each event.

No event of this month has 10 or more estimated deaths. The CSV file has each event.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 1. Baja California state: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of October 2025, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Group named for a person (name not shown)2826
Jalisco Cartel New Generation, Group named for a person (name not shown)2614

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

All months

Table 2. Monthly reports of Baja California state, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202632P41PCandidate Events
August 20261P1PCandidate Events
July 202617P19PCandidate Events
June 202613P10PCandidate Events
May 202622P10PCandidate Events
April 202630P29PCandidate Events
March 202613P15PCandidate Events
February 202622P3PCandidate Events
January 202628P145PCandidate Events
December 20251513GED
November 202518131GED
October 20252720GED
September 20253832GED
August 20254521GED
July 20252119GED
June 202519275GED
May 20252924GED
April 20253421GED
March 20251817GED
February 20252614GED
January 202544472GED
December 20241617GED
November 20243625GED
October 20242125GED
September 20244449GED
August 20243949GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Baja California state: all figures

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Baja California state, Mexico: events and estimated deaths in October 2025. https://conflictstats.com/country/mexico/baja-california-state/month/2025-10/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.