Countries › Mexico › October 2025
Mexico: conflict events in October 2025
Monthly report from UCDP event data.
Mexico saw 236 recorded events and 681 estimated deaths in October 2025. That is -25% compared with 315 events the month before. The death toll range is 177 to 562.
97% of the month's events were non-state conflict. Civilian deaths: 10.
Events were concentrated in Sinaloa state (70), Guanajuato state (49), Chihuahua state (44).
The most active pairing was Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos - Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos with 57 events.
Where events happened
Regions, October 2025
| Region | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Sinaloa state | 70 | 228 |
| Guanajuato state | 49 | 244 |
| Chihuahua state | 44 | 123 |
| Baja California state | 27 | 20 |
| Guerrero state | 23 | 31 |
| Michoacán state | 16 | 21 |
| Colima state | 2 | 6 |
| Tabasco state | 2 | 4 |
| Chiapas state | 1 | 2 |
| Sonora state | 1 | 1 |
Deadliest events, October 2025
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2025 | Guanajuato state | Jalisco Cartel New Generation vs Santa Rosa de Lima Cartel Non-state, 10 sources | 221 0–123 |
| 1 Oct 2025 | Sinaloa state | Jalisco Cartel New Generation, Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos vs Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos Non-state, 3 sources | 160 0–65 |
| 1 Oct 2025 | Chihuahua state | Juarez Cartel vs Sinaloa Cartel Non-state, 10 sources | 27 0–27 |
| 1 Oct 2025 | Chihuahua state | Juarez Cartel vs Sinaloa Cartel Non-state, 10 sources | 22 0–21 |
| 27 Oct 2025 | Guachochi municipality Chihuahua state | Juarez Cartel vs Sinaloa Cartel Non-state | 7 |
| 13 Oct 2025 | Ensenada municipality Baja California state | Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos vs Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos Non-state | 6 |
| 30 Oct 2025 | Chihuahua state | Juarez Cartel vs Sinaloa Cartel Non-state | 4 |
| 28 Oct 2025 | Juárez municipality Chihuahua state | Juarez Cartel vs Sinaloa Cartel Non-state | 4 |
| 16 Oct 2025 | Badiraguato municipality Sinaloa state | Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos vs Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos Non-state | 4 |
| 10 Oct 2025 | Morelia municipality Michoacán state | Carteles Unidos vs Jalisco Cartel New Generation, Los Blancos de Troya, Los de la Virgen, Los Viagras Non-state | 4 |
Parties
| Party | Events |
|---|---|
| Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos | 93 |
| Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos | 58 |
| Jalisco Cartel New Generation | 53 |
| Sinaloa Cartel | 52 |
| Santa Rosa de Lima Cartel | 48 |
| Juarez Cartel | 44 |
Type of violence
| Category | Events |
|---|---|
| State-based | 0 |
| Non-state | 230 |
| One-sided | 6 |
All months
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Feb 2025Jan 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Oct 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024
Source: UCDP GED and Candidate Events, CC BY 4.0. Counts use the "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.