Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Chihuahua state, Mexico: events and estimated deaths in October 2025

Monthly report of a regionDataset: UCDP GEDData through

UCDP recorded 44 events of organized violence in Chihuahua state, Mexico in October 2025. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 123. The low estimate is 49 and the high estimate is 123. UCDP counts 0 of these deaths as deaths of civilians. The count for September 2025 was 37 events.

The count for October 2024 was 20 events. The change from October 2024 to October 2025 is up 120 percent. Among the 26 months with a report for Chihuahua state, Mexico, October 2025 has the 2nd highest count of events. Chihuahua state, Mexico holds 19 percent of the events that UCDP recorded in Mexico in October 2025. In October 2024, the share was 8 percent.

The report of the country for this month: Mexico, October 2025.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Events

The table lists the events with 10 or more estimated deaths. The CSV file of Mexico has each event.

Table 1. Chihuahua state, October 2025: events with 10 or more estimated deaths (2 of 44 events), in the order of their dates
DatePlaceSides, as UCDP writes themType of violenceEstimated deathsLowHigh
1 Oct 2025Chihuahua stateJuarez Cartel; Sinaloa CartelNon-state22021
1 Oct 2025Chihuahua stateJuarez Cartel; Sinaloa CartelNon-state27027

In a few events, the high estimate of UCDP is lower than the best estimate, or the low estimate is higher. The site shows the figures as UCDP publishes them.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Chihuahua state: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of October 2025, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Juarez Cartel44123
Sinaloa Cartel44123

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

All months

Table 3. Monthly reports of Chihuahua state, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202611P11PCandidate Events
August 202619P22PCandidate Events
July 202621P31PCandidate Events
June 202622P31PCandidate Events
May 202613P19PCandidate Events
April 202622P24PCandidate Events
March 202635P29PCandidate Events
February 202622P25PCandidate Events
January 202621P24PCandidate Events
December 20252229GED
November 20252335GED
October 202544123GED
September 20253764GED
August 20253245GED
July 20254765GED
June 20253138GED
May 20251917GED
April 20251923GED
March 202522GED
February 20253845GED
January 202514589GED
December 20243541GED
November 20241419GED
October 20242023GED
September 20241634GED
August 20243441GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Chihuahua state: all figures

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Chihuahua state, Mexico: events and estimated deaths in October 2025. https://conflictstats.com/country/mexico/chihuahua-state/month/2025-10/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.